This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $163k across 42 resolved markets Their average winning entry is just 35¢, so buying No at 64¢ suggests a strong conviction view This is a fresh $1.3k buy in an active market that has already moved 17 points in a day

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,329.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 50 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buys No

A proven sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh position on a liquid Elon activity market by buying No at 64¢.

This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $163k across 42 resolved markets
Their average winning entry is just 35¢, so buying No at 64¢ suggests a strong conviction view
This is a fresh $1.3k buy in an active market that has already moved 17 points in a day

$1,329 on No | Wallet win rate: 23%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 79971199, $151,378
0x02b4...7092 — Outcome 27522534, $10,000
0x525e...0b73 — Outcome 27522534, $4,461
0xaee7...37fe — Outcome 27522534, $3,701
0xf657...d8ce — Outcome 27522534, $3,214
0x93fd...7e2f — Outcome 27522534, $2,000
0x43cb...84df — Outcome 27522534, $1,750
0x35f3...cfd0 — Outcome 27522534, $1,600
0xd84b...0df3 — Outcome 27522534, $1,440
0x1db9...a43b — Outcome 27522534, $1,218

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Trump lifts blockade late May

Covers 3 related markets

WTI stays rangebound in May

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Iran keeps airspace open

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?$1,329 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 50 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.