Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,329.
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buys No
A proven sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh position on a liquid Elon activity market by buying No at 64¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $163k across 42 resolved markets
- Their average winning entry is just 35¢, so buying No at 64¢ suggests a strong conviction view
- This is a fresh $1.3k buy in an active market that has already moved 17 points in a day
$1,329 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $73,590
- 0x3f0c...3fd7 — Yes, $11,048 (50% win rate)
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $10,000
- 0x5808...0b74 — Yes, $9,901 (30% win rate)
- 0xd713...af79 — Yes, $7,000
- 0x5e2f...55ca — Yes, $4,004
- 0xf657...d8ce — Yes, $3,214
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $2,500
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $2,479
- 0xaee7...37fe — Yes, $2,098
