Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 9 - April 11, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,050.
Categories: Culture, Tweet Markets, Politics, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buying longshot
A proven sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh $2k position on a liquid Elon tweet-count market at 25¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $164k overall
- They bought Yes at 25¢, a cheap entry that implies they see the true odds as meaningfully higher
- The market is active and liquid, so this looks more like a deliberate value bet than random whale flow
$2,050 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 16%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $104,088
- 0xa638...1d87 — Yes, $14,082 (54% win rate)
- 0x9057...c12c — Yes, $6,993
- 0x525e...0b73 — Yes, $6,962
- 0x93fd...7e2f — Yes, $4,500
- 0xff4e...5502 — Yes, $4,000
- 0x732f...201e — Yes, $3,100
- 0x849c...4009 — Yes, $2,198
- 0x274c...4824 — Yes, $2,100
- 0x146d...17c7 — Yes, $2,072
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