Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 1 - August 3, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,132.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Serial sharp buying Yes

A highly experienced and profitable bettor with an 82% win rate is making a fresh Yes bet in a very thin market while showing a broad serial cross-market pattern.

This bettor has won 82% of 839 resolved trades and earned about $177,795 in profit.
The $1,132 Yes purchase is larger than the market’s entire 24-hour volume of $852.
The wallet has traded across 28 events and 35 markets, indicating a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$1,132 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11396199, $43,588
0xfd5c...6d2a — Outcome 11396199, $32,469 (34% win rate)
0x215a...254c — Outcome 11396199, $2,244
0x04a2...e16c — Outcome 11396199, $1,096
0x1d8c...757a — Outcome 11396199, $790
0xe6d3...71cf — Outcome 11396199, $440
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 11396199, $439
0xa667...2dca — Outcome 11396199, $300
0xd9fe...db0d — Outcome 11396199, $237
0xb40e...7cc9 — Outcome 31555766, $123 (60% win rate)

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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 1 - August 3, 2026?$1,132 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 1 12:00 PM ET to August 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”

87¢

64¢

42¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction