Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,082.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor makes concentrated Yes bet

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated Yes bet in a thin market.

This bettor wins 82% of 861 resolved trades and is up nearly $198,000.
The $1,082 position represents 88% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Yes.
The wallet has traded across 39 markets and 32 events, indicating a broad, repeatable betting strategy rather than a one-off wager.

$1,082 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11312195, $38,209
0x590e...e43d — Outcome 20034472, $6,463
0xaf46...8c1d — Outcome 20034472, $5,320 (45% win rate)
0x2ef2...7f72 — Outcome 20034472, $5,000 (45% win rate)
0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 20034472, $4,091
0x35f3...cfd0 — Outcome 20034472, $2,173
0x8565...0c43 — Outcome 20034472, $2,000 (83% win rate)
0x7413...4b09 — Outcome 20034472, $2,000
0x122c...fbed — Outcome 20034472, $1,996 (60% win rate)
0xfd5c...6d2a — Outcome 20034472, $1,828 (34% win rate)

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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026?$1,082 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”

56¢

50¢

45¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction