Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,093.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

82% winner buys No in thin market

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 82% win rate placed a large No bet in a thin market, making this a credible copy-trade signal.

This bettor has won 82% of 867 resolved trades and earned about $201,000 in profit.
The $1,093 No position is roughly 184% of the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
The trader has positioned across 41 markets and 34 events, suggesting an experienced, repeatable strategy rather than a random wager.

$1,093 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 26418124, $42,098
0xfd5c...6d2a — Outcome 26418124, $9,392 (34% win rate)
0xa402...a51b — Outcome 26418124, $2,158
0x47f3...e493 — Outcome 35969848, $1,017
0xc5f5...e714 — Outcome 26418124, $1,000 (45% win rate)
0xdbf9...b9cc — Outcome 26418124, $800
0x215a...254c — Outcome 26418124, $711
0x7039...4a7d — Outcome 26418124, $405
0xc4b2...9a9b — Outcome 26418124, $398 (85% win rate)
0xa667...2dca — Outcome 26418124, $300

Related Theses

Nationals will defeat the Braves

Covers 1 related market

Athletics will beat the Red Sox

Covers 1 related market

Yankees will defeat the Mariners

Covers 1 related market

Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?$1,093 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”

94¢

69¢

43¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction