Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether Elon Musk will make 40 to 64 qualifying posts on X between August 22 at 12:00 PM ET and August 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count, while ordinary replies do not; the market resolves on August 24, 2026, at 4:00 PM UTC. Live odds were not included in the supplied metadata, but one tracked serial trader with an 82% win rate recently bought Yes, with $1,631 in smart-money activity tracked.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,631.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

82% win-rate serial trader buys Yes

A highly experienced serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,631 bet on Yes at even odds.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 885 resolved trades and is up $210,685.
  • The wallet has identified opportunities across 46 events and 54 markets, indicating a broad track record rather than a one-off bet.
  • A fresh $1,631 Yes position at 50¢ implies the trader sees meaningful value near even odds.

$1,631 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $32,762
  2. 0x8565...0c43 Yes, $5,872 (83% win rate)
  3. 0x590e...e43d Yes, $3,214
  4. 0x2ef2...7f72 Yes, $3,000 (45% win rate)
  5. 0x8288...5519 Yes, $3,000
  6. 0x35f3...cfd0 Yes, $2,000
  7. 0x12ed...c9b4 Yes, $1,501 (23% win rate)
  8. 0xb0cc...f09b Yes, $1,479 (41% win rate)
  9. 0xc5e8...8354 Yes, $1,288
  10. 0x524d...4495 No, $1,276 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

Nationals will defeat the Braves

Covers 1 related market

Musk will tweet 40-64 times

Covers 1 related market

Athletics will beat the Red Sox

Covers 1 related market

Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets

Covers 1 related market

Yankees will defeat the Mariners

Covers 1 related market

Musk will post 90-114 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Royals will beat the Tigers

Covers 1 related market

Musk will post 40+ tweets

Covers 1 related market

Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

Covers 1 related market

Fight ends before final bell

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?

11hElon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?$1,631 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets
Yes
84¢
No
17¢

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “Yes
85¢
60¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?

1d ago

$1,631 on Yes at 50¢

50¢84¢34¢

Related Theses