Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
This Polymarket market asks whether Elon Musk will make 40 to 64 qualifying posts on X between August 22 at 12:00 PM ET and August 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count, while ordinary replies do not; the market resolves on August 24, 2026, at 4:00 PM UTC. Live odds were not included in the supplied metadata, but one tracked serial trader with an 82% win rate recently bought Yes, with $1,631 in smart-money activity tracked.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,631.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets
Notable Trades
82% win-rate serial trader buys Yes
A highly experienced serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,631 bet on Yes at even odds.
- This bettor has won 82% of 885 resolved trades and is up $210,685.
- The wallet has identified opportunities across 46 events and 54 markets, indicating a broad track record rather than a one-off bet.
- A fresh $1,631 Yes position at 50¢ implies the trader sees meaningful value near even odds.
$1,631 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $32,762
- 0x8565...0c43 — Yes, $5,872 (83% win rate)
- 0x590e...e43d — Yes, $3,214
- 0x2ef2...7f72 — Yes, $3,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x8288...5519 — Yes, $3,000
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $2,000
- 0x12ed...c9b4 — Yes, $1,501 (23% win rate)
- 0xb0cc...f09b — Yes, $1,479 (41% win rate)
- 0xc5e8...8354 — Yes, $1,288
- 0x524d...4495 — No, $1,276 (75% win rate)
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