Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,646.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Serial sharp backs Yes

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and positive edge made a concentrated Yes bet that drove a sharp market repricing.

This bettor wins 82% of 892 resolved trades and is up $215,916 lifetime.
The $1,646 Yes purchase was over twice the detected 24-hour volume and pushed the market about 30 percentage points above its prior range.
The wallet has traded across 48 events and 56 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable edge rather than a one-off position.

$1,646 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%