Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,646.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Serial sharp backs Yes

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and positive edge made a concentrated Yes bet that drove a sharp market repricing.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 892 resolved trades and is up $215,916 lifetime.
  • The $1,646 Yes purchase was over twice the detected 24-hour volume and pushed the market about 30 percentage points above its prior range.
  • The wallet has traded across 48 events and 56 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable edge rather than a one-off position.

$1,646 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 47309452, $31,612
  2. 0xfd5c...6d2a Outcome 47309452, $22,980 (34% win rate)
  3. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 47309452, $9,322
  4. 0x215a...254c Outcome 47309452, $8,229
  5. 0xe83c...04ce Outcome 47309452, $2,100
  6. 0x138d...b23e Outcome 47309452, $675
  7. 0x5a77...f859 Outcome 47309452, $320
  8. 0xa667...2dca Outcome 47309452, $300
  9. 0x2213...492c Outcome 47309452, $200
  10. 0x4645...59ba Outcome 47309452, $200

Related Theses

Musk will post 40+ tweets

Covers 1 related market

Nationals will defeat the Braves

Covers 1 related market

Musk will tweet 40-64 times

Covers 1 related market

Athletics will beat the Red Sox

Covers 1 related market

Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets

Covers 1 related market

Musk will post 200-219 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Yankees will defeat the Mariners

Covers 1 related market

Musk will post 90-114 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Royals will beat the Tigers

Covers 1 related market

Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?$1,646 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “Yes
81¢
52¢
22¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?

16d ago

$1,646 on Yes at 72¢

Related Theses