Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,973.
Notable Trades
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
A serial cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate made a nearly $4k bet on the high-probability side, making this worth surfacing despite only one signal.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades, with 78 wins in 82 markets.
- They have bet across 43 events and 72 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off guess.
- They bought No at 86¢, backing the high-probability side with nearly $4k of size.
$3,973 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $70,412
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $21,000
- 0xd713...af79 — Yes, $7,000
- 0x5e2f...55ca — Yes, $5,005
- 0x5725...7571 — No, $4,604 (95% win rate)
- 0x459c...7ebc — Yes, $4,594
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $3,686
- 0x77c8...bc8c — Yes, $3,155
- 0x97fc...229e — Yes, $3,124
- 0xbbdc...5d81 — Yes, $3,053
