Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 14 - May 16, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Elon Musk will make 40 to 64 qualifying X posts between May 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET and May 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Qualifying activity includes main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies generally do not count unless they appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,352 in smart money activity on this market, with one recent signal showing an 8-wallet cluster buying No.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,352.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
8-wallet cluster buying No
An 8-wallet funded cluster is backing No, led by a profitable bettor with 172 resolved trades, and the position has already moved from 82¢ to 90¢.
- Eight wallets funded by the same source are aligned on No, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- This bettor is up $35,064 lifetime across 172 resolved trades.
- They entered No at 82¢ and the market has already moved to 90¢.
$1,352 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $55,047
- 0xaac2...e8ce — No, $20,947 (96% win rate)
- 0x4067...6ffa — No, $13,599
- 0x146d...17c7 — Yes, $12,405
- 0x7b73...c441 — No, $7,849 (73% win rate)
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $7,473 (17% win rate)
- 0x813e...5d51 — Yes, $5,000
- 0xb796...58a8 — Yes, $5,000
- 0x93fd...7e2f — Yes, $4,906
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $4,509
