Part of: elon-musk-of-tweets-may-9-may-11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,999.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
70-0 sharp bettor
Surface because a flawless 70-0 bettor with positive P&L bought No, even though the mechanical alert is only price impact on a fairly liquid market.
- This bettor is 70-for-70 on resolved bets and up about $10k lifetime.
- They bought No at 90¢ after a major move, suggesting confidence the lower tweet-count band will miss.
- The market has heavy recent volume and a 42-point one-day drop in Yes odds, supporting the same direction.
$2,999 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $41,446
- 0xaca2...b9a1 — Yes, $5,819 (41% win rate)
- 0xbe60...377c — No, $3,344 (100% win rate)
- 0x8288...5519 — Yes, $3,000
- 0x6964...ef53 — Yes, $2,934 (81% win rate)
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $2,800
- 0xaee7...37fe — Yes, $2,700
- 0x2924...dcde — Yes, $2,500
- 0x732f...201e — Yes, $2,000
- 0x93fd...7e2f — Yes, $2,000
