Part of: Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Elon Musk will make 40 to 64 qualifying X posts between September 10 at 12:00 PM ET and September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count, while ordinary replies do not; the market resolves on September 12, 2026. Current market odds were not included in the supplied data.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,938.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buys No in thin market

A proven bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated No bet that exceeds the market's recent trading volume.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 92 resolved positions and is up $142,043 lifetime.
  • The $1,938 No bet represents nearly 190% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a thin market.
  • The wallet has traded 55 markets across 41 events, providing a substantial track record beyond this single position.

$1,938 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $25,321
  2. 0x524d...4495 No, $3,563 (78% win rate)
  3. 0xaca2...b9a1 Yes, $3,201 (40% win rate)
  4. 0x8288...5519 Yes, $3,000
  5. 0x35f3...cfd0 Yes, $2,800
  6. 0x8565...0c43 Yes, $2,500 (82% win rate)
  7. 0x590e...e43d Yes, $2,057
  8. 0xbbdc...5d81 Yes, $1,842 (13% win rate)
  9. 0xabbe...8f37 Yes, $1,402 (56% win rate)
  10. 0xe5bd...339a Yes, $1,017

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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?

11hElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?$1,938 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets
Yes
77¢
No
23¢

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “Yes
80¢
60¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?

3d ago

$1,938 on No at 54¢

54¢23¢31¢

Related Theses