Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,037.

Categories: Politics, Tweet Markets, Culture

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate and extraordinary historical odds edge is making a fresh $1,037 Yes bet.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades (11 of 13) and is up $44,289.
  • Their historical winning positions averaged just 3%, suggesting unusually strong performance against implied odds.
  • The fresh $1,037 Yes position entered at 32%, with the market recently moving up to 34%.

$1,037 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 90805501, $25,466
  2. 0xe089...ad3a Outcome 50808286, $8,793 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 50808286, $5,238 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x590e...e43d Outcome 50808286, $3,243
  5. 0x35f3...cfd0 Outcome 50808286, $1,890
  6. 0x7609...6c4e Outcome 50808286, $1,500 (72% win rate)
  7. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 50808286, $1,395 (63% win rate)
  8. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 50808286, $1,265
  9. 0xd1c3...73fd Outcome 50808286, $1,000
  10. 0x5c4f...3338 Outcome 50808286, $1,000

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?$1,037 tracked1 signalPoliticsTweet MarketsCulture

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No
97¢
79¢
60¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?

23d ago

$1,037 on Yes at 32¢