Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,490.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

18-wallet funded No cluster

An 18-wallet funded cluster backed No with a sizable position, though the trader's moderate track record and already-settled-looking market reduce copyability.

  • Eighteen wallets sharing a funder have collectively positioned on No, a strong coordinated signal.
  • This wallet has 274 resolved trades and is up $44,463, although its 64% win rate is only moderately compelling.
  • No was bought at 83¢ but now displays at 100%, so the original entry appears to be gone.

$2,490 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11445689, $40,891
  2. 0x1e5a...935f — Outcome 50803140, $7,234 (12% win rate)
  3. 0x2ef2...7f72 — Outcome 50803140, $4,900 (45% win rate)
  4. 0x590e...e43d — Outcome 50803140, $3,249
  5. 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 50803140, $2,590
  6. 0x35f3...cfd0 — Outcome 50803140, $2,126
  7. 0x04a2...e16c — Outcome 50803140, $1,477
  8. 0xfbcb...bb5d — Outcome 50803140, $1,217
  9. 0x5c4f...3338 — Outcome 50803140, $1,000
  10. 0xe6d3...71cf — Outcome 50803140, $714

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026?$2,490 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”
102¢
76¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?

32d ago

$2,490 on No at 83¢