Part of: Elon Musk # tweets June 27 - June 29, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Q: 13-wallet cluster buying NO

A 13-wallet funded cluster is aligned behind No, showing coordinated conviction. This wallet has a long profitable record: 152 wins and +$39.6k lifetime. No jumped from the mid-20¢ range to 86¢ on this move and now trades near 100¢.

Q: Profitable new repeat bettor

This 9-day-old wallet is already up $2.6k on $20.5k invested. This is its second flagged large bet, with $3.2k total across related markets. Selling Yes at 51¢ is the same as buying No at 49¢, against a market that moved sharply toward Yes.

Q: Profitable new repeat bettor

This 9-day-old wallet is already up $2.6k on $20.5k invested. This is its second flagged large bet, with $3.2k total across related markets. Selling Yes at 51¢ is the same as buying No at 49¢, against a market that moved sharply toward Yes.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,868.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

13-wallet cluster buying NO

Profitable wallet from a 13-wallet funded cluster bought No at 86¢ near resolution, coinciding with a major price breakout to 100¢.

A 13-wallet funded cluster is aligned behind No, showing coordinated conviction.
This wallet has a long profitable record: 152 wins and +$39.6k lifetime.
No jumped from the mid-20¢ range to 86¢ on this move and now trades near 100¢.

$2,574 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable new repeat bettor

A young repeat bettor with early positive P&L is taking the contrarian No side on a fast-moving Musk tweet-count market.

This 9-day-old wallet is already up $2.6k on $20.5k invested.
This is its second flagged large bet, with $3.2k total across related markets.
Selling Yes at 51¢ is the same as buying No at 49¢, against a market that moved sharply toward Yes.

$1,070 on No | Wallet win rate: 33%

Profitable new repeat bettor

A young repeat bettor with early positive P&L is taking the contrarian No side on a fast-moving Musk tweet-count market.

This 9-day-old wallet is already up $2.6k on $20.5k invested.
This is its second flagged large bet, with $3.2k total across related markets.
Selling Yes at 51¢ is the same as buying No at 49¢, against a market that moved sharply toward Yes.

$1,224 on No | Wallet win rate: 33%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 23913368, $97,528
0x02b4...7092 — Outcome 54980649, $30,000
0x77c8...bc8c — Outcome 54980649, $6,388 (36% win rate)
0x2ef2...7f72 — Outcome 54980649, $5,000 (35% win rate)
0x35f3...cfd0 — Outcome 54980649, $4,323
0x2eef...eaca — Outcome 54980649, $4,302 (28% win rate)
0xc4d5...87cf — Outcome 54980649, $3,995 (43% win rate)
0x590e...e43d — Outcome 54980649, $3,443
0x48c5...89f3 — Outcome 54980649, $3,179 (32% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 54980649, $2,911

Related Theses

Musk tweets under forty

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets June 27 - June 29, 2026?$4,868 tracked3 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 27 12:00 PM ET to June 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”

102¢

63¢

25¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades