Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 23 - May 25, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 23 12:00 PM ET to May 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,827.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
97% winner flipping exposure
A highly accurate wallet is effectively moving against No on this tweet-count market, with cross-market positioning despite this being partly an exit from a prior No position.
- This bettor has won 97% of 466 resolved bets and is up $4.6k lifetime.
- They sold No here, which is equivalent to buying Yes around 19¢.
- This is part of $4.2k in related positioning across the same event, while Yes has already moved up 11.9% today.
$1,827 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $28,360
- 0x77c8...bc8c — Yes, $5,000 (34% win rate)
- 0x813e...5d51 — Yes, $4,849
- 0x04a2...e16c — Yes, $3,713
- 0x4b3e...74d0 — Yes, $3,233
- 0x8288...5519 — Yes, $3,000
- 0x7c6c...1f86 — No, $2,944 (48% win rate)
- 0xc21e...e6d3 — No, $2,843 (25% win rate)
- 0x4982...fe01 — No, $2,526
- 0xc331...1d71 — Yes, $1,961
Related Theses
Bitcoin swings between 75k and 85k
Covers 2 related markets
Musk tweets under forty
Covers 2 related markets
