This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades with an $10.6k profit across 85 bets. They bought No at 71¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢ after a sharp price jump. This wallet has traded 74 markets across 45 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.

This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $165k across 45 resolved markets. They bought No at 52¢, a price that moved to 55¢ after entry. Their average winning entry is 36¢, which suggests they are selective rather than chasing favorites.

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 11 - April 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,397.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

95% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp trader with a 95% win rate bought No on this Elon tweet-count market and the price has already moved in their favor.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades with an $10.6k profit across 85 bets.
They bought No at 71¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢ after a sharp price jump.
This wallet has traded 74 markets across 45 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.

$1,181 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp bettor buys No

A proven sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and strong edge bought No on this Elon tweet-count market at 52¢, making it a reasonable copy-trade despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $165k across 45 resolved markets.
They bought No at 52¢, a price that moved to 55¢ after entry.
Their average winning entry is 36¢, which suggests they are selective rather than chasing favorites.

$1,216 on No | Wallet win rate: 16%