Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Elon Musk will make between 65 and 89 qualifying X posts from April 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through April 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count toward the total, while most replies do not. The market resolves on April 13, 2026 based on the tracked post count during that window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,397.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
95% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp trader with a 95% win rate bought No on this Elon tweet-count market and the price has already moved in their favor.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades with an $10.6k profit across 85 bets.
- They bought No at 71¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢ after a sharp price jump.
- This wallet has traded 74 markets across 45 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
$1,181 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp bettor buys No
A proven sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and strong edge bought No on this Elon tweet-count market at 52¢, making it a reasonable copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $165k across 45 resolved markets.
- They bought No at 52¢, a price that moved to 55¢ after entry.
- Their average winning entry is 36¢, which suggests they are selective rather than chasing favorites.
$1,216 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $104,235
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $24,429
- 0x952c...be27 — Yes, $20,459
- 0x3f0c...3fd7 — Yes, $14,795 (50% win rate)
- 0xddd8...e6f7 — Yes, $10,000
- 0x7c45...425c — Yes, $6,336
- 0xacbc...7cc3 — No, $5,630 (76% win rate)
- 0xfafe...2e34 — Yes, $4,797 (44% win rate)
- 0x3488...d6fd — No, $3,893
- 0x34a6...558b — Yes, $3,000
