Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Elon Musk will make 65–89 counted posts on X from August 22 at 12:00 PM ET through August 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count, while ordinary replies do not; the market resolves on August 24, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC. Current odds and smart-money activity are available on the market page.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,047.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets
Notable Trades
82% Win-Rate Serial Trader Buys Yes
A highly experienced serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial lifetime profit made a fresh $1,047 bet on Yes despite the market moving slightly against it.
- This bettor has won 82% of 885 resolved trades and earned about $210,685 in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 44 events and 51 markets, indicating a sustained and repeatable strategy.
- A fresh $1,047 Yes position at 33¢ targets a market currently priced near 30¢, with a relatively thin $5,591 liquidity pool.
$1,047 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $32,762
- 0x590e...e43d — Yes, $5,820
- 0x524d...4495 — Yes, $3,249 (75% win rate)
- 0x8565...0c43 — Yes, $3,146 (83% win rate)
- 0x2ef2...7f72 — Yes, $3,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x8288...5519 — Yes, $3,000
- 0xc5e8...8354 — Yes, $3,000
- 0x913f...c676 — No, $2,246 (68% win rate)
- 0xb0cc...f09b — Yes, $2,025 (41% win rate)
- 0x8b8b...2512 — Yes, $1,119
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