Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 2 12:00 PM ET to May 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,033.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
Repeat new wallet up $16.8K
A young repeat whale with early profits is buying No near 90¢ on a near-expiry Elon tweet-count market, suggesting confidence in the low-tweet-count outcome.
- This 26-day-old wallet is already up $16.8K across its Polymarket activity.
- It has now made 8 flagged large bets totaling $27.9K, suggesting this is a repeat conviction bettor.
- Buying No at 90¢ near the final hours implies they see the 65-89 tweet range as very unlikely.
$2,033 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $65,307
- 0xf272...c118 — Yes, $16,353
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $10,000
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $7,560 (16% win rate)
- 0x21b5...1db6 — No, $4,138
- 0x5359...6b35 — No, $4,123
- 0x2924...dcde — Yes, $4,055
- 0x0e51...e4f7 — Yes, $3,300
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $3,209
- 0xdea3...2266 — Yes, $3,144
