Part of: Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,840.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Fresh wallet buying No

A 2-day-old repeat large bettor is fading Yes near resolution, coinciding with a sharp 31-point break below the market’s prior range.

A 2-day-old wallet is making another large bet, with $4.8K total flagged across repeat positions.
This trade effectively backs No at 55¢ while the Yes price has broken sharply below its prior 76–88¢ range.
The wallet is early but currently profitable, up $297 on $6.2K invested across 2 resolved wins.

$1,640 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

New wallet backs momentum

A 1-day-old wallet put $3.2k on Yes at 88¢ in a strongly trending market, suggesting a high-conviction late-month position despite limited track record.

A brand-new wallet bought $3.2k of Yes at 88¢, a meaningful size versus $9.3k liquidity.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 21 points in the past day and 78 points over the week.
The bettor is early but has 2 resolved wins and is already up $297.

$3,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10418948, $83,242
0xb06a...52f5 — Outcome 35049424, $4,917
0xa49b...7054 — Outcome 35049424, $4,574 (67% win rate)
0x8565...0c43 — Outcome 35049424, $4,100 (83% win rate)
0x5a77...f859 — Outcome 35049424, $4,050
0xb831...892b — Outcome 35049424, $4,042
0xe096...be8e — Outcome 35049424, $2,426 (60% win rate)
0x9a3a...4580 — Outcome 35049424, $2,050 (48% win rate)
0x77c8...bc8c — Outcome 35049424, $2,000 (37% win rate)
0x732f...201e — Outcome 35049424, $1,700

Related Theses

Musk tweets 800-879 in May

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?$4,840 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades