Part of: Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
This prediction market tracks whether Elon Musk will make between 840 and 879 qualifying X posts during May 2026. It resolves on June 1, 2026, based on main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts captured by the tracker; replies generally do not count unless they appear on the main feed. PolySpotter is tracking $3,200 in smart money activity and 1 recent smart money signal for this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,200.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets
Notable Trades
New wallet backs momentum
A 1-day-old wallet put $3.2k on Yes at 88¢ in a strongly trending market, suggesting a high-conviction late-month position despite limited track record.
- A brand-new wallet bought $3.2k of Yes at 88¢, a meaningful size versus $9.3k liquidity.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 21 points in the past day and 78 points over the week.
- The bettor is early but has 2 resolved wins and is already up $297.
$3,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $69,557
- 0x6864...294b — Yes, $20,401
- 0x1e1a...7690 — Yes, $5,801 (64% win rate)
- 0xa49b...7054 — Yes, $4,574 (81% win rate)
- 0x8565...0c43 — Yes, $4,053
- 0xf4dd...cfcc — Yes, $3,624 (100% win rate)
- 0xd769...f90c — Yes, $3,421
- 0xb831...892b — Yes, $3,042
- 0x94f4...ea54 — Yes, $2,828 (53% win rate)
- 0x7871...2917 — Yes, $2,668 (41% win rate)
