Part of: Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,840.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets
Notable Trades
Fresh wallet buying No
A 2-day-old repeat large bettor is fading Yes near resolution, coinciding with a sharp 31-point break below the market’s prior range.
- A 2-day-old wallet is making another large bet, with $4.8K total flagged across repeat positions.
- This trade effectively backs No at 55¢ while the Yes price has broken sharply below its prior 76–88¢ range.
- The wallet is early but currently profitable, up $297 on $6.2K invested across 2 resolved wins.
$1,640 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet backs momentum
A 1-day-old wallet put $3.2k on Yes at 88¢ in a strongly trending market, suggesting a high-conviction late-month position despite limited track record.
- A brand-new wallet bought $3.2k of Yes at 88¢, a meaningful size versus $9.3k liquidity.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 21 points in the past day and 78 points over the week.
- The bettor is early but has 2 resolved wins and is already up $297.
$3,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $83,242
- 0xb06a...52f5 — Yes, $4,917
- 0xa49b...7054 — Yes, $4,574 (67% win rate)
- 0x8565...0c43 — Yes, $4,100 (82% win rate)
- 0x5a77...f859 — Yes, $4,050
- 0xb831...892b — Yes, $4,042 (62% win rate)
- 0xe096...be8e — Yes, $2,426 (62% win rate)
- 0x9a3a...4580 — Yes, $2,050 (48% win rate)
- 0x77c8...bc8c — Yes, $2,000 (37% win rate)
- 0x732f...201e — Yes, $1,700
Related Theses
Musk tweets 800-879 in May
Covers 2 related markets
