Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
This Polymarket tracks whether Elon Musk will make between 90 and 114 qualifying posts on X from April 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through April 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count toward the total, while most replies do not. The market resolves on April 13, 2026 based on the final tracked number of Musk posts during that window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,488.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
Profitable sharp betting No
A profitable sharp wallet with a 76% win rate sold Yes in this Elon tweet-range market, which translates to a buyable No position around 49¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved markets
- They sold Yes at 51¢, which is the same as buying No at 49¢
- The market already moved 41 points in a day, so a sharp trader fading it here stands out
$1,488 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $112,885
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $26,933 (17% win rate)
- 0x952c...be27 — Yes, $20,459
- 0x3f0c...3fd7 — Yes, $14,795 (50% win rate)
- 0xddd8...e6f7 — Yes, $10,000
- 0xdf0a...08e8 — No, $5,000
- 0x9ccc...e7e8 — Yes, $3,000
- 0xe6d3...71cf — Yes, $2,574
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $2,392
- 0x3488...d6fd — No, $2,038
