Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,891.
Notable Trades
95% win-rate serial trader
A serial cross-market trader with a 95% win rate bought No at 81¢ in a high-volume Elon tweet-count market, making this a track-record-driven signal worth watching despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved markets with 81 wins and 4 losses.
- They trade across many related markets: 44 events, 73 markets, and about $406k in volume.
- They bought No at 81¢, a high-confidence price that fits their habit of grinding out favorites.
$1,891 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $114,489
- 0x952c...be27 — Yes, $22,699
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $14,000
- 0xddd8...e6f7 — Yes, $10,000
- 0xd713...af79 — Yes, $7,000
- 0xacbc...7cc3 — Yes, $5,255 (77% win rate)
- 0x5e2f...55ca — Yes, $5,005
- 0x9c29...8c43 — Yes, $4,773
- 0x3488...d6fd — No, $3,685
- 0xd44c...d5a6 — No, $3,530
