Part of: Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,174.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Serial sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate and $183,176 lifetime profit made a fresh $1,174 Yes bet in a market that has recently moved sharply.

This bettor wins 82% of 841 resolved trades and is up $183,176 lifetime.
They actively trade across 29 events and 36 markets, indicating a repeatable forecasting approach rather than a one-off wager.
The $1,174 Yes entry at 47¢ arrived amid a 39.5% one-day price rise, supporting the bullish direction.

$1,174 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 44070230, $41,669
0x590e...e43d — Outcome 37535125, $7,710
0xfd5c...6d2a — Outcome 37535125, $6,809 (34% win rate)
0x2ef2...7f72 — Outcome 37535125, $5,000 (39% win rate)
0x215a...254c — Outcome 37535125, $2,876
0x35f3...cfd0 — Outcome 37535125, $2,658
0x8565...0c43 — Outcome 37535125, $2,473 (82% win rate)
0xd7f7...9ed6 — Outcome 37535125, $2,000
0x732f...201e — Outcome 37535125, $1,900
0x7413...4b09 — Outcome 37535125, $1,500

Related Theses

Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

Covers 1 related market

Nationals will defeat the Braves

Covers 1 related market

Athletics will beat the Red Sox

Covers 1 related market

SpaceX valuation markets mispriced

Covers 4 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026?$1,174 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 30 12:00 PM ET to August 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”

96¢

72¢

49¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction