12 wallets all backed No with nearly $40k, pushing the price from about 64¢ to 84¢. Several large, profitable wallets joined the same side, including bettors up $3.99M and $1.09M lifetime. This came during a major volume spike, with activity running 13.7x above the historical average.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $1.03M lifetime. They put $29k on No at 76¢, adding a high-conviction bet against the draw. This wallet has traded 205 events with the same 97% hit rate, and market volume is spiking before kickoff.

Part of: England vs. Croatia

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $98,678.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

$11.7M-profit serial trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is buying No as the market moves sharply that way amid a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is up $11.7M lifetime across 1,714 resolved bets.
They have traded 3 markets in this event with $371k total exposure, suggesting a broader match-level view.
No has jumped 18.6 points during a 12.6x volume spike before the game.

$1,084 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

12-wallet No surge

A 12-wallet cluster put nearly $40k on No around 63–66¢, with several profitable high-volume sports bettors involved and the position already moving to 84¢.

12 wallets all backed No with nearly $40k, pushing the price from about 64¢ to 84¢.
Several large, profitable wallets joined the same side, including bettors up $3.99M and $1.09M lifetime.
This came during a major volume spike, with activity running 13.7x above the historical average.

$39,969 on No

Sharp 8-wallet draw cluster

High-score one-sided cluster on Yes, backed by an undefeated profitable wallet and a serial cross-market trader despite some entries already moving against them.

One participant is 14-0 on resolved bets and up $107.7K lifetime.
Eight wallets put $19.4K on the draw, all taking the Yes side.
This comes with a 12.8x volume spike and a serial cross-market trader active across 41 events.

$19,389 on Yes

97% winner buys No

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 97% historical win rate placed a $29k BUY No bet, backed by serial cross-market success and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $1.03M lifetime.
They put $29k on No at 76¢, adding a high-conviction bet against the draw.
This wallet has traded 205 events with the same 97% hit rate, and market volume is spiking before kickoff.

$29,089 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettors backing draw

Three wallets are backing the draw, including two profitable serial cross-market bettors and one 88% winner, making this a copy-worthy sharp-flow cluster despite the market being very liquid.

A bettor who wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $48K is buying the draw at 14¢.
Another long-term profitable trader with 568 resolved bets is taking the same side by selling No at 86¢.
Three wallets moved together for $8K on Yes, even as the market price has fallen 12 points today.

$8,044 on Yes

96% win-rate sports sharp

Elite sharp wallet with a 96% long-term win rate and strong cross-market history bought No on the draw at 75¢.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved positions and is up $266k lifetime.
They have traded 57 related events with a 96% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 75¢ implies they see England-Croatia not ending in a draw as underpriced.

$1,102 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 92623193, $238,438 (94% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 50545080, $191,678
0x5ad7...ae48 — Outcome 92623193, $62,410 (98% win rate)
0x44a1...bd21 — Outcome 92623193, $42,000 (61% win rate)
0x092f...2ff1 — Outcome 92623193, $30,000 (73% win rate)
0x5d63...2cbf — Outcome 92623193, $21,000 (65% win rate)
0x24b6...e069 — Outcome 92623193, $17,535 (67% win rate)
0xe1a2...14b8 — Outcome 92623193, $15,000 (71% win rate)
0xfed7...b06a — Outcome 92623193, $14,500 (54% win rate)
0x1e6d...08a8 — Outcome 92623193, $14,145 (84% win rate)

Related Theses

Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators

Covers 3 related markets

Knicks win high-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Spurs win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring matchup

Covers 7 related markets

Iran peace deal odds mispriced

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win high-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Knicks win high-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Portugal wins big clean sheet

Covers 4 related markets

Knicks-Spurs stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

ResolvedEngland vs. Croatia$98,678 tracked6 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 17, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.