Part of: 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,341.

Categories: Chess, Sports, FIDE candidates, Candidates Open

Notable Trades

Proven cross-market winner

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate and $3.15M P&L bought No, and the market has already moved in their favor from 74% to 78%.

  • This bettor has won 741 of 995 resolved markets and is up $3.15M lifetime
  • They trade across 107 markets in 75 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought No at 74¢ and the market is already up to 78¢, showing early follow-through

$1,341 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 51052738, $283,825
  2. 0xe8c2...3048 Outcome 14829621, $14,781 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x1014...db07 Outcome 14829621, $13,276
  4. 0x705d...f3a9 Outcome 14829621, $10,690
  5. 0x200e...1f66 Outcome 14829621, $9,697
  6. 0x129f...ca97 Outcome 14829621, $5,553
  7. 0x7c39...f064 Outcome 14829621, $5,263
  8. 0xa81e...03dc Outcome 14829621, $5,154 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x984d...3bb2 Outcome 14829621, $4,287 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x2375...691f Outcome 14829621, $3,649

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Resolved2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner$1,341 tracked1 signalChessSportsFIDE candidatesCandidates Open

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

47d ago

$1,341 on No at 74¢

Related Theses