Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Finland will finish among the top 5 highest-scoring entries at Eurovision 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,039 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent Yes buy signal from a proven 76% winner; the market is scheduled to resolve around May 16, 2026, based on official Eurovision results.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,039.

Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision

Notable Trades

Proven 76% winner buying Yes

Sharp-wallet override: a proven profitable bettor with a 76% win rate and +$18.4k lifetime P&L bought Finland top-5 Yes despite the weak composite score.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $18.4k lifetime.
  • They bought $1.0k of Yes at 90¢, showing confidence even at already-high odds.
  • Their historical results beat market-implied odds by 19 percentage points.

$1,039 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x594e...1c11 Yes, $28,015 (78% win rate)
  2. 0xb046...857c No, $15,706
  3. 0xe72b...b0a0 No, $15,263 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x6db9...4ab5 No, $10,625 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x7b17...51b1 No, $6,179
  6. 0xf344...9a04 No, $6,000 (59% win rate)
  7. 0x2e48...95c7 Yes, $4,051
  8. 0xd71a...78c9 Yes, $3,094
  9. 0x507b...0742 Yes, $2,800 (78% win rate)
  10. 0xfffa...864b Yes, $2,763 (84% win rate)

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

1dEurovision 2026: Top 5$1,039 tracked1 signalCultureMusicAwardsEurovision
Yes
93¢
No
7¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “Yes
95¢
88¢
80¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

3h ago

$1,039 on Yes at 90¢

90¢93¢3¢