Eurovision 2026: Top 5
16 signals across 8 markets · $34,296 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Eurovision 2026 Top 5 prediction market tracks whether selected countries will finish among the five highest-scoring entries. Traders are pricing outcomes for Cyprus, France, Greece, Israel and Romania, with PolySpotter following $9,792 in smart money activity across five signals, including whale buying, sharp favorite support and quiet-market No conviction.

Markets (8)
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?4 signals · $10,315 tracked
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?2 signals · $6,594 tracked
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?2 signals · $5,770 tracked
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?2 signals · $4,048 tracked
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?3 signals · $3,882 tracked
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?1 signal · $1,500 tracked
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?1 signal · $1,147 tracked
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?1 signal · $1,039 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- New wallet hammering NO
A 2-day-old wallet with $24k in repeat flagged bets is buying Romania No and appears to have moved the market from 64% to 72%.
$2,393Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 8.2 - New repeat Eurovision whale
A brand-new repeat large bettor is fading Romania's Eurovision top-5 odds after deploying nearly $22k across flagged trades, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
$1,329Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 8.2 - New wallet hedged No lean
A brand-new wallet has now made repeated large Eurovision bets, but this specific position is partly hedged with a net lean toward No.
$4,228Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 7.5 - 82% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and +$46.6k lifetime P&L is buying No against a market that has recently moved strongly toward Yes.
$1,430Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.0 - New whale scaling into Yes
A 6-day-old repeat large bettor is putting nearly $3.9k on Yes near Eurovision resolution, with the market now cheaper than their average entry.
$3,853Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.5 - Repeat new-wallet whale
A very new wallet has already made several large bets and just took another meaningful position in a thin Eurovision market, suggesting repeated conviction even without a long track record.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor buys favorite
A profitable sharp wallet with a strong 75% hit rate made a market-moving buy on the favored side in a thin Eurovision market, suggesting the current 14% Yes price may still be too high.
$1,147Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.5 - Fresh wallet momentum bet
A brand-new wallet made a meaningful first bet on Australia top-5 Eurovision amid strong recent upward price momentum, suggesting fresh conviction despite no track record.
$1,300Score: 4.5 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor bought Yes at 82¢ amid strong upward momentum, though the stake is modest for this liquid market.
$1,153Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.0 - 94% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with a 15/16 resolved record and nearly $48k profit is buying Greece Yes despite only moderate signal strength.
$2,742Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x349606…8fc4$7,950 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 68% wins
- 0x04d7c7…b035$5,770 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 28% wins
- 0xcdb7f4…5e2a$4,048 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xfe980f…59b7$3,853 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x94c4fe…43ca$2,742 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x6db983…4ab5$2,576 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xe72bb5…b0a0$2,365 · 1 market · 1 alert · 44% wins
- 0x2df9a0…4534$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x52743e…4128$1,300 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x5b6331…11a4$1,153 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Eurovision 2026 Top 5 odds on Polymarket?
The event includes separate markets for whether Cyprus, France, Greece, Israel and Romania finish in the Eurovision 2026 top 5. The live odds move as traders react to song releases, qualification expectations, betting trends and smart money activity.
Which countries are being traded in this Eurovision 2026 Top 5 event?
This event covers Top 5 markets for Cyprus, France, Greece, Israel and Romania. Each child market resolves Yes if that country finishes among the five highest-scoring Eurovision 2026 candidates, and No otherwise.
What is the smart money doing on Eurovision 2026 Top 5 markets?
PolySpotter has tracked $9,792 in smart money across this event, with signals such as a repeat new-wallet whale, sharp bettors buying a favorite, high-win-rate traders buying Yes, and one quiet-market No conviction alert.
When does the Eurovision 2026 Top 5 market resolve?
The markets are expected to resolve based on official Eurovision 2026 results after the contest. If a listed country can no longer finish in the top 5, its market may resolve No early; if no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, it resolves No.
How should I use PolySpotter for Eurovision 2026 prediction markets?
Use PolySpotter to compare the market-implied odds with smart money signals, whale activity and sharp bettor moves. It can help show whether experienced traders are backing a country’s Top 5 chances or fading the market.