Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,500.

Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision

Notable Trades

Repeat new-wallet whale

A very new wallet has already made several large bets and just took another meaningful position in a thin Eurovision market, suggesting repeated conviction even without a long track record.

  • This 14-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts with about $7.1k flagged total
  • The $1.5k buy made up 63% of this market's 24-hour volume in a thin market with an 8-point spread
  • They bought Yes at 63¢, showing conviction above the current 59¢ market price after France had already drifted up over the week

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3045...9c3c — Outcome 94417815, $1,924 (27% win rate)
  2. 0x4af7...2381 — Outcome 94417815, $1,418 (53% win rate)
  3. 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 94417815, $906
  4. 0x4447...e040 — Outcome 94417815, $733
  5. 0x5006...b409 — Outcome 94417815, $556 (27% win rate)
  6. 0x246a...19b8 — Outcome 94417815, $483
  7. 0x8bf3...6077 — Outcome 94417815, $444
  8. 0xdfca...cee9 — Outcome 94417815, $400
  9. 0x9ae3...4859 — Outcome 94417815, $384
  10. 0x2c61...ac8b — Outcome 94417815, $384

Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 5$1,500 tracked1 signalCultureMusicAwardsEurovision

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No”
91¢
69¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

45d ago

$1,500 on Yes at 63¢