Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

This Polymarket asks whether France will finish as one of the five highest-scoring entries at Eurovision 2026. The market resolves Yes if France places in the top 5, and it can resolve early to No if France is eliminated and can no longer qualify. It is scheduled to resolve by May 16, 2026, with a final fallback deadline of July 31, 2026 if no official result is announced.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,500.

Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision

Notable Trades

Repeat new-wallet whale

A very new wallet has already made several large bets and just took another meaningful position in a thin Eurovision market, suggesting repeated conviction even without a long track record.

  • This 14-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts with about $7.1k flagged total
  • The $1.5k buy made up 63% of this market's 24-hour volume in a thin market with an 8-point spread
  • They bought Yes at 63¢, showing conviction above the current 59¢ market price after France had already drifted up over the week

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb046...857c — No, $2,582
  2. 0x2df9...4534 — Yes, $2,376 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x722c...09eb — Yes, $200
  4. 0xfb22...9a8a — Yes, $115
  5. 0x27c1...f4ac — No, $110
  6. 0x97c3...c524 — Yes, $77
  7. 0xf2a9...8b3b — Yes, $60
  8. 0x7ca0...e17a — No, $36
  9. 0x5825...4ffb — No, $34
  10. 0xca7c...e994 — No, $33

Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

33d$1,500 tracked1 signalCultureMusicAwardsEurovision
Yes
59¢
No
41¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “Yes”
62¢
57¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

3h ago

$1,500 on Yes at 63¢

63¢→59¢↓4¢