This bettor has won 80 of 81 resolved positions and is up about $192k lifetime. They are buying No at 60¢, taking the other side of France’s recent move up 11 points this week. Their entry implies France is overpriced as the top UEFA World Cup finisher.

Part of: World Cup: Furthest Advancing UEFA Nation

Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,279.

Categories: Soccer, world cup, UEFA, Sports, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Continental Futures

Notable Trades

Profitable sharp buying NO

A modest but profitable sharp wallet with a 75% resolved-bet record bought $1,000 of No in a relatively quiet, wide-spread World Cup market.

This bettor has won 75% of resolved bets and is up about $2,000 lifetime.
They bought $1,000 of No in a quiet market with only a few thousand dollars of recent volume.
Entry at 49¢ implies they see France underperforming the market’s current expectations.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

99% winner buying NO

Surfaced because a highly profitable sharp wallet with an 80/81 resolved record bought No at 60¢ on a liquid World Cup futures market.

This bettor has won 80 of 81 resolved positions and is up about $192k lifetime.
They are buying No at 60¢, taking the other side of France’s recent move up 11 points this week.
Their entry implies France is overpriced as the top UEFA World Cup finisher.

$1,279 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11529128, $8,204
0xf720...4599 — Outcome 79174494, $3,035 (59% win rate)
0xb200...8163 — Outcome 79174494, $1,506 (28% win rate)
0x7a31...1164 — Outcome 79174494, $1,351
0x4435...4760 — Outcome 79174494, $550
0x03f5...882d — Outcome 79174494, $400
0x513a...4cf2 — Outcome 79174494, $192
0xdc56...809b — Outcome 79174494, $188
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 79174494, $180 (71% win rate)
0x7dcf...a7bd — Outcome 79174494, $165

Related Theses

Iran advances, Croatia Jordan fail

Covers 3 related markets

Portugal advances, USA Senegal fail

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Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Furthest Advancing UEFA Nation$2,279 tracked2 signalsSoccerworld cupUEFASportsFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupContinental Futures

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades