Part of: Gemini 3.2 released on...?

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

This prediction market asks whether Google will make a publicly available model explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, available on May 19 ET. PolySpotter is tracking $3,355 in smart money activity for this market, including a recent Yes buy from a trader with a 91% win rate. The market resolves based on the calendar date of public availability, with final resolution scheduled by May 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,355.

Categories: AI, rewards 200, 4.5, 20, google, Tech

Notable Trades

91% winner buying Yes

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought $3.4k of Yes on a moderately quiet market despite only a weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up $6.4k lifetime.
  • They put $3.4k on Yes at 90¢, a large share of the market’s recent trading volume.
  • The market has already moved to 92%, so the trade is slightly in profit after entry.

$3,355 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x05c4...003f Yes, $7,982 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $6,470
  3. 0xe154...0b7f No, $3,536
  4. 0x2110...5850 Yes, $2,854
  5. 0x1e71...01bf No, $2,100 (17% win rate)
  6. 0xa6e4...369f Yes, $2,086
  7. 0x0224...292a Yes, $1,752 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x9541...6e5c Yes, $1,103
  9. 0x726c...2558 No, $1,014
  10. 0x55f1...842d Yes, $1,007

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

17dGemini 3.2 released on...?$3,355 tracked1 signalAIrewards 200, 4.5, 20googleTech
Yes
94¢
No
7¢

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
95¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

2h ago

$3,355 on Yes at 90¢

90¢94¢4¢