Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,072.

Categories: Eurovision, Music, Culture

Notable Trades

Profitable Eurovision thesis bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a cross-market Eurovision thesis, with this No buy taking over half of the market's 24h volume in a thin book.

  • This bettor has 805 resolved trades, a 67% win rate, and $163K in lifetime profit.
  • They have put $15.5K across 3 markets in this same Eurovision event, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • This $1.1K No buy was 59% of the market’s 24h volume in a thin market with a wide spread.

$1,072 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0x482d...ba5e Yes, $5,670 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x0ef7...cdd6 Yes, $3,710 (0% win rate)
  3. 0x56d4...9c57 No, $3,535
  4. 0xad89...f6e1 No, $1,849 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x51fd...4272 No, $1,608
  6. 0xbd04...a64a No, $706
  7. 0xcb14...5358 No, $519
  8. 0x8bf3...6077 No, $433
  9. 0xf948...0931 No, $163
  10. 0xd4ba...0f36 No, $146

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

5d$1,072 tracked1 signalEurovisionMusicCulture
Yes
32¢
No
68¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No
70¢
54¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

2h ago

$1,072 on No at 67¢

67¢68¢1¢

Related Theses