Part of: Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,146.

Notable Trades

Profitable Eurovision cross-market bettor

Experienced profitable wallet is building a cross-market Eurovision thesis, buying Georgia No despite only modest low-liquidity signal strength.

This bettor has a long record: 805 resolved bets with $162k in lifetime profit.
They are positioning across 3 related Eurovision markets with $15.5k total exposure.
Buying No at 75¢ goes with recent momentum, as Yes has fallen 16 points over the past week.

$1,074 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable Eurovision thesis bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a cross-market Eurovision thesis, with this No buy taking over half of the market's 24h volume in a thin book.

This bettor has 805 resolved trades, a 67% win rate, and $163K in lifetime profit.
They have put $15.5K across 3 markets in this same Eurovision event, suggesting a broader thesis.
This $1.1K No buy was 59% of the market’s 24h volume in a thin market with a wide spread.

$1,072 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

0x4f07...0170 — Outcome 82710443, $8,652 (87% win rate)
0x0ef7...cdd6 — Outcome 82710443, $7,880 (0% win rate)
0x6bcc...f8b2 — Outcome 82710443, $1,779
0x0336...4bb0 — Outcome 82710443, $1,152 (95% win rate)
0x9337...a410 — Outcome 82710443, $814
0xbeda...d080 — Outcome 82710443, $700
0x1620...f529 — Outcome 82710443, $400
0x6e3f...32a4 — Outcome 82710443, $328
0x3583...f1f2 — Outcome 82710443, $283
0x3780...6429 — Outcome 82710443, $205

Related Theses

Greece Romania outperform Eurovision 2026

Covers 4 related markets

Georgia out, Moldova Serbia advance

Covers 3 related markets

Greece wins Eurovision over Denmark

Covers 2 related markets

Paraguay reaches knockout stages

Covers 1 related market

Hormuz traffic normalizes by July

Covers 1 related market

Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: First Semi-Final$2,146 tracked2 signalsEurovisionMusicCulture

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.