Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final
5 signals across 4 markets · $7,708 tracked · resolves May 12, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether selected countries advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, currently covering Estonia, Georgia, Poland, and Portugal. PolySpotter has tracked $7,708 in smart money across 5 signals, including Yes buying from high-win-rate and profitable Eurovision bettors.
Markets (4)
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?1 signal · $2,744 tracked
- Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?2 signals · $2,146 tracked
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?1 signal · $1,769 tracked
- Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?1 signal · $1,049 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 94% winner buying Yes
Sharp high-win-rate wallet bought Poland Yes at 78¢ amid strong Eurovision momentum and has a strong profitable track record.
$2,744Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 6.0 - Profitable Eurovision thesis bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is building a cross-market Eurovision thesis, with this No buy taking over half of the market's 24h volume in a thin book.
$1,072Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.5 - Sharp bettor buying Yes
A proven profitable wallet with a strong edge is buying Yes on a moderately thin Eurovision market with a wide spread.
$1,769Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.5 - Profitable Eurovision cross-market bettor
Experienced profitable wallet is building a cross-market Eurovision thesis, buying Georgia No despite only modest low-liquidity signal strength.
$1,074Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.0 - 94% winner buys Yes
Sharp profitable wallet with a 94% resolved win rate bought Portugal Yes at 50¢ in a niche Eurovision market that has been moving upward.
$1,049Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x94c4fe…43ca$3,793 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 78% wins
- 0xad89f8…f6e1$2,146 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x6db983…4ab5$1,769 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
FAQs
What are the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final odds on Polymarket?
The event aggregates prediction markets on whether Estonia, Georgia, Poland, and Portugal will qualify from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final. Prices move as traders react to songs, running order, rehearsal reports, fan polling, and broader Eurovision sentiment.
Which countries are being traded in this Eurovision semi-final event?
This event currently includes qualification markets for Estonia, Georgia, Poland, and Portugal. Each child market asks whether that country will advance through the first Eurovision 2026 Semi-Final.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has flagged 5 smart money signals totaling $7,708 across the event. Recent alerts include Yes buying from a 94% winner, a sharp bettor, a profitable Eurovision thesis bettor, and a profitable Eurovision cross-market bettor.
When does the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market resolve?
The markets are scheduled to resolve based on the official results of the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final on May 12, 2026. If a country is eliminated or can no longer advance under the competition rules, its market may resolve to No earlier.
How should I interpret Yes buying in these Eurovision prediction markets?
Yes buying generally means traders are betting that a country will qualify for the Eurovision final. When PolySpotter flags Yes buying from historically profitable or high-win-rate accounts, it can indicate stronger-than-average conviction, though prediction markets can still change quickly.