Event

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1 signal across 1 market · $1,036 tracked · resolves Sep 1, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether the August 2026 global land-ocean temperature anomaly will exceed 1.29°C. PolySpotter is monitoring the Yes/No prediction market, with $1,036 in tracked smart money and a recent alert showing a serial trader adding to Yes.

Markets (1)

  1. Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?1 signal · $1,036 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Serial trader adds to Yes position

    A serial cross-market trader with a profitable long-term record added a sizable Yes position in a thin market, though the existing position and modest edge make this a moderate-conviction signal.

    $1,036Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 3.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x118689051b$1,036 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the August 2026 temperature prediction market odds?

The event has one child market: whether the global temperature increase will exceed 1.29°C in August 2026. Check the live Polymarket price for the current implied odds of Yes and No.

What is smart money doing in the August 2026 temperature market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,036 in smart money across the event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports that a serial trader added to a Yes position.

How will this temperature prediction market resolve?

The market resolves using the August 2026 value in the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index. A qualifying anomaly in the named bracket is sufficient for resolution when the data becomes available, even if the figure is later revised.

When does the August 2026 temperature market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026, at 03:59 UTC, subject to the release of the applicable Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index data.