This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $912 on $7.3k invested. They put $2k on No at 84¢, a larger-than-usual bet for this wallet. The trade follows momentum against Google, with Yes odds down 8 points today.

Part of: Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,877.

Categories: Big Tech, Tech, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100, AI

Notable Trades

82% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and positive P&L is effectively buying Google Yes at 22¢ despite only a modest single-trade size.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $912 lifetime.
They are effectively buying Google Yes at 22¢, above the market’s current 20% odds.
Their past bets beat market-implied odds by about 30 percentage points.

$1,867 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven AI-market winner

Surfaced because this is a proven profitable wallet with a 78% win rate adding a $3k NO position and related cross-market exposure.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $22,087 lifetime.
They put $3,010 on NO at 86¢, backing the current favorite with high confidence.
The wallet has $7,119 positioned across 2 related markets, suggesting a broader AI-model thesis.

$3,010 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

82% winner buying NO

A profitable 82% win-rate wallet made a $2k BUY No bet, but the signal is based on a small track record and no corroborating cluster or timing signals.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $912 on $7.3k invested.
They put $2k on No at 84¢, a larger-than-usual bet for this wallet.
The trade follows momentum against Google, with Yes odds down 8 points today.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 65800158, $290,772
0xa445...0286 — Outcome 98283123, $19,154
0xc656...aa88 — Outcome 98283123, $16,944
0x5ffb...5e4c — Outcome 98283123, $13,416
0xc6b2...2960 — Outcome 98283123, $12,263
0x7b75...3fd1 — Outcome 98283123, $8,094 (51% win rate)
0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 98283123, $8,000 (45% win rate)
0x0042...321e — Outcome 98283123, $7,508 (47% win rate)
0x129b...9274 — Outcome 98283123, $4,670 (47% win rate)
0xe732...898f — Outcome 98283123, $4,581 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Anthropic overtakes Google AI

Covers 2 related markets

Neither Google nor Anthropic leads

Covers 2 related markets

Claude debuts in low 1530s

Covers 2 related markets

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

ResolvedWhich company has the best AI model end of May?$6,877 tracked3 signalsBig TechTechRewards 50, 4.5, 100AI

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.