Part of: UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

O/U 2.5 Rounds

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,779.

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with over $3M lifetime profit bought nearly $10k of Under at 39¢ despite only a modest alert score.

This bettor is up about $3.0M lifetime across 446 resolved markets.
They have traded 312 events and put nearly $10k on Under here at 39¢.
Entry at 39¢ implies they see this as a mispriced plus-money side.

$9,947 on Under | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial fight bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $3.0M lifetime profit placed a sizable $9.8k bet on Under in a relatively small UFC rounds market.

This bettor has won 59% of 446 resolved trades and is up $3.0M lifetime.
They put $9.8k on Under, a large bet versus the market’s $28k daily volume.
Entry at 38¢ implies a roughly 2.6x payout if the fight ends before the 2.5-round mark.

$9,832 on Under | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

0x10d4...d953 — Outcome 85000107, $1,197 (54% win rate)
0xf05d...ac5e — Outcome 85000107, $500
0xb79f...d749 — Outcome 85000107, $397
0x9b55...1167 — Outcome 85000107, $161
0x18b6...babf — Outcome 85000107, $130
0xc37e...9e64 — Outcome 85000107, $115
0x0f43...f730 — Outcome 85000107, $79
0xeab7...b389 — Outcome 85000107, $50
0xe743...ce0f — Outcome 85000107, $49
0x976f...8a71 — Outcome 85000107, $33

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

O/U 2.5 Rounds

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$19,779 tracked2 signalsSportsUFCGames

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Alice Ardelean and Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Alice Ardelean and Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.