Part of: When will GPT-5.6 be released?

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,036.

Categories: AI, Tech, OpenAI, gpt, rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec

Notable Trades

81% winner buying Yes

Surface because a proven 81% winner with positive lifetime P&L is adding a meaningful Yes bet amid strong recent upward momentum and related cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $6.6K lifetime.
  • They put $4.2K on Yes at 79¢ while the market is up 23 points this week.
  • They have also positioned across a related market, suggesting a broader GPT release-window thesis.

$4,211 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

85% winner buying thin AI market

Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is buying Yes on a thin AI release market after strong recent price momentum.

  • This bettor has won 85% of resolved bets and is up $9.6K lifetime.
  • The $1.8K Yes buy was larger than this market’s recent 24h volume, showing real conviction in a thin market.
  • Yes has already climbed about 22 points this week, and this wallet is still adding at 73¢.

$1,825 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

New wallet scaling into YES

A very new wallet has repeatedly made large flagged bets and just put $2,000 on Yes in a quiet AI release-date market, representing a high-conviction position despite limited track record.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has now made 8 large flagged bets totaling $16,000.
  • The $2,000 buy was about 84% of the market’s recent daily volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • Current odds near 65¢ are below this bettor’s 69¢ entry.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 64804543, $77,094
  2. 0x2589...6868 Outcome 12073165, $31,277 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xb9df...e654 Outcome 12073165, $11,750 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 12073165, $10,822
  5. 0x43cb...84df Outcome 12073165, $7,546
  6. 0x0691...1b9d Outcome 12073165, $3,268
  7. 0xbe37...617a Outcome 12073165, $3,021
  8. 0x76aa...c4f4 Outcome 12073165, $2,887 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x7bec...b4e2 Outcome 12073165, $2,432 (80% win rate)
  10. 0x0fbb...727f Outcome 12073165, $2,163

Related Theses

Iran deal by June end

Covers 3 related markets

GPT-6 won't release by August

Covers 2 related markets

Claude Fable returns by July

Covers 3 related markets

Fed avoids rate cuts

Covers 2 related markets

Anthropic won’t extend Fable access

Covers 1 related market

Fed will hike rates in 2026

Covers 1 related market

Araghchi signs, Ghalibaf doesn't

Covers 2 related markets

US-Iran signing falls through

Covers 2 related markets

Starmer out by June 2026

Covers 2 related markets

GPT-5.6 not before June 22

Covers 2 related markets

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

ResolvedWhen will GPT-5.6 be released?$8,036 tracked3 signalsAITechOpenAIgptrewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

66d ago

$4,211 on Yes at 79¢

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

67d ago

$1,825 on Yes at 73¢

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

69d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 69¢

Related Theses