Part of: When will GPT-5.6 be released?
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,036.
Categories: AI, Tech, OpenAI, gpt, rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
Notable Trades
81% winner buying Yes
Surface because a proven 81% winner with positive lifetime P&L is adding a meaningful Yes bet amid strong recent upward momentum and related cross-market positioning.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $6.6K lifetime.
- They put $4.2K on Yes at 79¢ while the market is up 23 points this week.
- They have also positioned across a related market, suggesting a broader GPT release-window thesis.
$4,211 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
85% winner buying thin AI market
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is buying Yes on a thin AI release market after strong recent price momentum.
- This bettor has won 85% of resolved bets and is up $9.6K lifetime.
- The $1.8K Yes buy was larger than this market’s recent 24h volume, showing real conviction in a thin market.
- Yes has already climbed about 22 points this week, and this wallet is still adding at 73¢.
$1,825 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
New wallet scaling into YES
A very new wallet has repeatedly made large flagged bets and just put $2,000 on Yes in a quiet AI release-date market, representing a high-conviction position despite limited track record.
- This 2-day-old wallet has now made 8 large flagged bets totaling $16,000.
- The $2,000 buy was about 84% of the market’s recent daily volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Current odds near 65¢ are below this bettor’s 69¢ entry.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $77,094
- 0x2589...6868 — Yes, $31,277 (100% win rate)
- 0xb9df...e654 — Yes, $11,750 (100% win rate)
- 0x43cb...84df — Yes, $7,546
- 0x8f69...2923 — Yes, $5,412
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Yes, $5,411
- 0x0691...1b9d — Yes, $3,268
- 0xbe37...617a — Yes, $3,021
- 0x76aa...c4f4 — Yes, $2,887 (100% win rate)
- 0x7bec...b4e2 — Yes, $2,432 (80% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran deal by June end
Covers 3 related markets
GPT-6 releases in September
Covers 5 related markets
Mythos-Class model launches by August 2026
Covers 1 related market
Anthropic won’t extend Fable access
Covers 1 related market
Fed will hike rates in 2026
Covers 1 related market
Anthropic’s ticker will be $ANT
Covers 1 related market
Anthropic won’t lead 2026 IPO valuations
Covers 1 related market
Claude Fable returns by July
Covers 3 related markets
Fed avoids rate cuts
Covers 2 related markets
Astra releases September 4, 2026
Covers 1 related market
