Part of: Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,784.

Categories: maine, Elections, politcs, Maine Midterm, June 9 Primaries, Graham Platner

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Yes surge

Three wallets bought Yes in quick succession and helped drive a major move from roughly 40–68¢ to 94¢ on a politically sensitive dropout market.

Three wallets all bought Yes within one minute, pushing the market sharply higher.
The strongest entry was at 40¢ before Yes jumped to 94%, suggesting fast-moving information.
Two wallets have meaningful lifetime profits, including one up about $149k and another up about $50k.

$3,292 on Yes

Profitable serial bettor

A high-volume, profitable cross-market bettor with linked-wallet history bought Yes at 32¢ and is already marked up to 40¢ in a thin, politically information-sensitive market.

This bettor has traded across 189 markets and is up about $733k lifetime.
The $3.5k Yes buy is large versus the market’s roughly $6k liquidity, showing meaningful conviction.
Entry at 32¢ is already ahead of the current 40¢ price, suggesting the market moved toward their bet.

$3,493 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

0x33f8...c5e4 — Outcome 61120495, $34,101 (49% win rate)
0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 61120495, $15,924 (72% win rate)
0x4c2a...65dc — Outcome 61120495, $8,729 (33% win rate)
0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 61120495, $7,253 (73% win rate)
0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 61120495, $3,011 (61% win rate)
0xd01f...74ab — Outcome 61120495, $2,436
0xf638...aa50 — Outcome 61120495, $2,324 (80% win rate)
0x00d1...c8a4 — Outcome 61120495, $2,000 (100% win rate)
0x202d...2dcd — Outcome 61120495, $2,000
0x6b5a...b691 — Outcome 61120495, $2,000

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Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?

ResolvedWill Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?$6,784 tracked2 signalsmaineElectionspolitcsMaine MidtermJune 9 PrimariesGraham Platner

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by July 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.