Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,026.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

93% winner buying Yes

Surfacing despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a strong resolved track record and made a meaningful $3.7k Yes buy on a relatively quiet Eurovision market.

  • This bettor has won 93% of resolved bets and is up $12.3k lifetime.
  • They put $3.7k on Yes at 88¢, larger than the market’s reported 24h volume in the signal.
  • The market has only $24k liquidity, so this is a meaningful conviction add in a niche event market.

$3,696 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

94% winner on Eurovision

Sharp profitable wallet with a 94% resolved-bet win rate is adding a correlated Eurovision position despite modest market activity.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up about $48k lifetime.
  • They have placed over $5.1k across 3 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Entry at 85¢ is high, but this wallet’s track record makes the position worth following.

$1,132 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable Eurovision contrarian

A profitable high-volume wallet is taking a contrarian No position in a thin Eurovision market while also positioning across related Eurovision markets.

  • This bettor has won 540 resolved markets and is up $163K lifetime.
  • They sold $3.2K of Yes, effectively backing No around 19¢ in a thin market.
  • This wallet has been active across 3 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.

$3,198 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd34b...0004 Outcome 42254147, $5,047 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x0336...4bb0 Outcome 42254147, $4,390 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x6db9...4ab5 Outcome 42254147, $3,802 (85% win rate)
  4. 0x4eef...3fcb Outcome 42254147, $2,629 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x4f07...0170 Outcome 42254147, $1,313 (87% win rate)
  6. 0x16cb...2704 Outcome 42254147, $1,166 (75% win rate)
  7. 0x168a...da29 Outcome 42254147, $1,008 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x2375...691f Outcome 42254147, $1,001
  9. 0xc4bd...d834 Outcome 42254147, $887
  10. 0xc2fb...5e7b Outcome 42254147, $576

Related Theses

Bulgaria advances, Switzerland falls

Covers 2 related markets

Greece Romania outperform Eurovision 2026

Covers 4 related markets

Ruiz, Valencia avoid 2026 arrests

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Georgia out, Moldova Serbia advance

Covers 3 related markets

No US-Iran peace deal

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Greece wins Eurovision over Denmark

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Greece top ten, others miss

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Australia wins Eurovision 2026

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Poland and Portugal advance

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Bulgaria and Albania advance

Covers 2 related markets

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 10$8,026 tracked3 signalsMusicEurovisionAwardsCulture

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Notable Trades

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

51d ago

$3,696 on Yes at 88¢

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

51d ago

$1,132 on Yes at 85¢

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

56d ago

$3,198 on No at 19¢

Related Theses

Bulgaria advances, Switzerland falls
Wallet_0x94c4f trades 2 related markets
Will Bulgaria advance through …Will Switzerland advance throu…
Greece Romania outperform Eurovision 2026
Wallet_0xad89f trades 4 related markets
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 …Will Cyprus be in the top 10 a…Will Greece be in the top 10 a…
Ruiz, Valencia avoid 2026 arrests
Wallet_0x94c4f trades 2 related markets
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be a…Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonz…
Georgia out, Moldova Serbia advance
Wallet_0xad89f trades 3 related markets
Will Georgia advance through t…Will Moldova advance through t…Will Serbia advance through th…
No US-Iran peace deal
Wallet_0xd8bcf trades 4 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Greece wins Eurovision over Denmark
Wallet_0xad89f trades 2 related markets
Will Denmark win Eurovision 20…Will Greece win Eurovision 202…
Greece top ten, others miss
Wallet_0x94c4f trades 3 related markets
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 a…Will Ukraine be in the top 10 …Will Greece be in the top 10 a…
Australia wins Eurovision 2026
Wallet_0x94c4f trades 3 related markets
Will Finland win Eurovision 20…Will Greece win Eurovision 202…Will Australia win Eurovision …
Poland and Portugal advance
Wallet_0x94c4f trades 2 related markets
Will Poland advance through th…Will Portugal advance through …
Bulgaria and Albania advance
Wallet_0xad89f trades 2 related markets
Will Bulgaria advance through …Will Albania advance through t…