Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This prediction market asks whether Haiti will advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves Yes if Haiti reaches the Round of 32 and No if they are mathematically eliminated, with resolution expected by June 28, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $16,829 in smart money activity and 1 signal so far.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $63,780.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer

Notable Trades

Serial cross-market whale

Large $16.8k NO bet from a heavily active cross-market trader on a relatively quiet long-dated World Cup market, though the wallet’s overall P&L is not proven sharp.

  • This bettor has placed $596k across 40 markets in 37 events, showing a repeat pattern of themed positioning.
  • The $16.8k NO buy was much larger than recent market activity, suggesting high conviction on Haiti not advancing.
  • Entry at 89¢ is a favorite bet with limited upside, but the size stands out in a thin market.

$16,829 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%

Repeat whale in thin market

A repeat large bettor put nearly $47k on Haiti not advancing in a very thin market, with the bet equal to about 8x the market’s 24h volume despite only modest historical performance.

  • This bettor put nearly $47k on No, about 8x the market’s 24h volume.
  • The wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $549k deployed across 38 markets.
  • This is a high-conviction position in a quiet market, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

$46,951 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd849...6ac7 No, $19,439 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x1341...0853 Yes, $10,338 (86% win rate)
  3. 0xda3a...381f Yes, $10,011 (51% win rate)
  4. 0xb619...5068 Yes, $2,888 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x59e5...7a2b No, $2,000 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x51fd...4272 Yes, $1,300
  7. 0x9fd4...325c No, $1,136 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x305e...e8d9 No, $900
  9. 0x6c43...fb9b No, $877 (42% win rate)
  10. 0x5cd5...ac33 No, $797 (93% win rate)

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Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

21dWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages$63,780 tracked2 signalsFIFA World CupSports2026 FIFA World CupSoccer
Yes
12¢
No
89¢

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
91¢
82¢
73¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1h ago

$16,829 on No at 89¢

89¢89¢

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1h ago

$46,951 on No at 88¢

88¢89¢1¢

Related Theses