Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $22,973.
Notable Trades
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Four wallets piled nearly $23k into the same side of a very thin Weinstein sentencing market, creating a 105x volume spike and pushing in at 27-30¢ despite only $898 of listed liquidity.
- Four wallets put $23k on the same outcome in a market with only $1.6k of 24-hour volume and $898 of liquidity
- Most of the cluster sold No at 73¢, which is the same as buying Yes around 27¢, and the market has already moved to 30¢
- This flow caused a 105x volume spike, showing unusually strong conviction on a normally quiet legal-news market
$22,973 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $8,781
- 0x6b44...be1e — Yes, $3,000
- 0xa96c...d1c7 — Yes, $1,414
- 0xfe72...f18c — Yes, $626
- 0x7d4b...eedf — Yes, $570
- 0x2525...b919 — Yes, $527 (55% win rate)
- 0x9fc3...12af — Yes, $449
- 0x2a31...f2f0 — Yes, $421
- 0xc0c6...b50b — No, $405
- 0x8cc5...b8af — No, $324