Part of: Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

This prediction market asks whether Hyperliquid’s HYPE token will surpass Solana’s SOL by market capitalization at any point before December 31, 2026. Resolution is based on CoinGecko market cap data, and PolySpotter tracks live Polymarket odds plus smart money activity, including $1,128 in tracked smart money signals so far.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,713.

Categories: Solana, hype, hyperliquid, Crypto Prices, Crypto

Notable Trades

Proven bettor buying cheaper

Weak low-activity signal, but the bettor has a large resolved history with a 75% win rate and positive lifetime P&L, and users can now enter the same bullish HYPE thesis below their effective price.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 446 resolved trades and is up $2.4k lifetime.
  • They effectively bought Yes at 25¢, while the market is now around 18–20¢.
  • The bet is on a quiet market with only $4.7k traded in the last day.

$1,128 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$2,584 | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb47a...6d60 No, $11,358 (82% win rate)
  2. 0x17b2...87a1 Yes, $10,913
  3. 0xc073...a9b0 Yes, $10,750
  4. 0xc456...8996 No, $7,961 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x8bc3...73d1 No, $7,150
  6. 0x8e87...28d9 Yes, $6,968 (27% win rate)
  7. 0x21d0...ce91 No, $5,999 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x6dd6...f5f4 No, $4,198 (71% win rate)
  9. 0x0dfc...12e0 Yes, $1,861
  10. 0xca05...2dd7 Yes, $1,786 (25% win rate)

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Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

200dWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?$3,713 tracked2 signalsSolanahypehyperliquidCrypto PricesCrypto
Yes
16¢
No
85¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

Price History — “No
88¢
84¢
80¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

23d ago

$1,128 on Yes at 25¢

25¢16¢9¢

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

45d ago

$2,584

Related Theses