Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $218,991.

Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume sports trader with a 64% long-run win rate is adding to a broader event thesis amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 556 resolved trades and is up $375K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.7M placed across 355 events.
This looks like part of a bigger event thesis, with $204K across 3 related markets.

$3,158 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp five-wallet No cluster

Five wallets put $20.9k on No, including multiple profitable sports-style bettors and one 75% winner, making this a notable contrarian cluster despite the market moving toward Yes.

Five wallets are all taking the No side with $20.9k total exposure.
One bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $13.9k lifetime.
The market saw a 17x volume spike, and No can now be bought below many of the cluster’s earlier entries.

$20,930 on No

Profitable trader flips Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader flipped into Yes after a massive market reversal and volume spike, suggesting they are reacting to new information despite earlier No buys.

This bettor is up $375k lifetime across 868 resolved bets.
They bought Yes at 85¢ after the market swung sharply toward a draw, with Yes up 56 points on the day.
Volume spiked 17x above normal, suggesting fresh information is driving the move.

$7,151 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume sports trader is adding to a cross-market thesis amid a major volume spike and 27-point move toward Yes.

This bettor has a huge track record: 42,230 resolved bets, a 69% win rate, and $385K lifetime profit.
They are active across this same event, with $28K positioned over 3 related markets.
The market has surged sharply, with Yes up 27 points and volume running 17x above normal.

$1,891 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

New whale with $95k profit

A brand-new but highly profitable wallet is adding $7.9k to Yes after repeated large flagged bets, cross-market positioning, and a major price move.

This 12-hour-old wallet is already up $94.6k and has triggered 30 large-bet alerts.
It bought $7.9k of Yes and has also positioned across 3 related markets in the same event.
Yes has surged 56 points in the past day, with this trade adding to strong momentum.

$7,932 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable high-volume sports bettor is taking a large No position amid a major volume spike, coordinated same-side flow, and sharp odds movement.

This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins across 868 resolved markets and $375k lifetime profit.
They put about $113k on No while 4 wallets also bought the same side in the same window.
The market is moving fast, with No swinging sharply and volume running far above normal.

$112,791 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable bettors back No

Surface because several profitable, high-volume sports bettors clustered on No, including one 77% lifetime winner and a 66% winner with strong positive P&L, though the market also shows opposing Yes flow.

Four wallets put $15.6K on No, led by bettors with strong lifetime profits.
One No buyer wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $206K lifetime.
Another No buyer wins 66% and is up $88K, with a strong record at non-favorite prices.

$15,572 on No

Profitable wallets pile into draw

High-conviction Yes flow from 12 wallets is supported by a 12x volume spike, a 27-point price move, and several profitable/serial sports bettors.

12 wallets bought nearly $48k of Yes, pushing the draw price up 27 points in a day.
The flow includes proven bettors up $375k and $385k lifetime, plus a new repeat whale already up $94k.
Several wallets are also trading related markets in the same event, suggesting a broader match thesis.

$47,921 on Yes

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial sports trader bought No at 72¢ during a massive pre-event volume spike, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the modest single-trade size.

This bettor has a huge track record: 18,319 resolved bets, 62% winners, and $3.8M in profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 467 events with over $3.1M in tracked volume.
Market volume spiked 3,824x above normal before the match, supporting the move into No at 72¢.

$1,644 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 43622742, $221,777
0xd81e...e3d0 — Outcome 43622742, $192,326 (95% win rate)
0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 43622742, $149,320 (89% win rate)
0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 43622742, $110,463 (63% win rate)
0x78ad...45cc — Outcome 43622742, $50,000 (85% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 43622742, $47,037
0xfaa2...e80a — Outcome 43622742, $10,269 (78% win rate)
0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 43622742, $7,100 (67% win rate)
0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 43622742, $6,849 (74% win rate)
0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 43622742, $6,041 (83% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye avoids defeat

Covers 3 related markets

Czechia won't beat Korea

Covers 3 related markets

Canada-Bosnia match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil-Japan match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye-US match gets played

Covers 3 related markets

Japan-Sweden match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

Several favorites could win the World Cup

Covers 7 related markets

Argentina will not win

Covers 3 related markets

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

ResolvedIR Iran vs. New Zealand$218,991 tracked9 signalsGamesFIFA World CupSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 15, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.