Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This prediction market tracks whether Iran will advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves “Yes” if Iran reaches the Round of 32, and “No” if Iran is mathematically eliminated; current smart money activity shows $1,000 tracked across 1 signal, with a recent sharp buy on “No.” The market is scheduled to resolve around June 28, 2026, subject to the official World Cup schedule and matchup declarations.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,000.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer

Notable Trades

Proven sharp buying No

Surface despite the low composite score because a proven profitable wallet with an 82% historical win rate bought No on Iran advancing.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $91K lifetime.
  • They have beaten market odds by 28 percentage points across 182 resolved bets.
  • Buying No at 39¢ goes against the current 62% Yes price, signaling a clear contrarian view.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfb64...5e23 — No, $2,540 (82% win rate)
  2. 0x4b59...3aa6 — Yes, $1,986 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x0dc5...a303 — Yes, $1,526 (59% win rate)
  4. 0x032e...2a9e — No, $1,062 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x5c57...5b16 — Yes, $982
  6. 0xc46d...87d9 — Yes, $537
  7. 0x05f0...2469 — Yes, $481
  8. 0xc46e...9ed8 — No, $417
  9. 0x3fbc...30a4 — Yes, $400
  10. 0x9b60...85e0 — No, $388

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Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

17dWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages$1,000 tracked1 signalFIFA World CupSports2026 FIFA World CupSoccer
Yes
62¢
No
38¢

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
65¢
60¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2h ago

$1,000 on No at 39¢

39¢→38¢↓1¢

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