Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This Polymarket market asks whether Iraq will advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The market resolves based on whether Iraq reaches the Round of 32, with resolution expected by June 28, 2026; PolySpotter is currently tracking $5,587 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,587.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer
Notable Trades
Profitable whale on thin market
A profitable high-volume wallet is making a concentrated Yes bet on a very quiet World Cup market, with the trade far larger than recent market activity and part of broader cross-market positioning.
- This bettor is up $276k lifetime across 825 resolved bets, despite trading very high volume.
- They bought $5.6k of Yes, far above this market’s $751 in 24h volume.
- This is part of $10.4k in World Cup positioning across three related markets.
$5,587 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%
Top Holders
- 0xe72b...b0a0 — Yes, $15,541 (46% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — No, $14,733 (86% win rate)
- 0x3ad7...86bf — No, $706
- 0xf1ad...6979 — No, $581
- 0xdd15...4a07 — Yes, $575 (70% win rate)
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Yes, $476 (79% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — No, $348 (50% win rate)
- 0x4402...d22a — No, $245
- 0xcb7e...28dd — Yes, $200
- 0xd4b0...427e — Yes, $200
Related Theses
Iraq Jordan advance Norway exits
Covers 3 related markets
Australia Romania Israel miss top five
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Montenegro advances, Portugal eliminated
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