Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This Polymarket market asks whether Iraq will advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The market resolves based on whether Iraq reaches the Round of 32, with resolution expected by June 28, 2026; PolySpotter is currently tracking $5,587 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,587.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer

Notable Trades

Profitable whale on thin market

A profitable high-volume wallet is making a concentrated Yes bet on a very quiet World Cup market, with the trade far larger than recent market activity and part of broader cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor is up $276k lifetime across 825 resolved bets, despite trading very high volume.
  • They bought $5.6k of Yes, far above this market’s $751 in 24h volume.
  • This is part of $10.4k in World Cup positioning across three related markets.

$5,587 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe72b...b0a0 Yes, $15,541 (46% win rate)
  2. 0x1341...0853 No, $14,733 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x3ad7...86bf No, $706
  4. 0xf1ad...6979 No, $581
  5. 0xdd15...4a07 Yes, $575 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x38e5...95e7 Yes, $476 (79% win rate)
  7. 0xd218...b5c9 No, $348 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x4402...d22a No, $245
  9. 0xcb7e...28dd Yes, $200
  10. 0xd4b0...427e Yes, $200

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Iraq Jordan advance Norway exits

Covers 3 related markets

Australia Romania Israel miss top five

Covers 3 related markets

Montenegro advances, Portugal eliminated

Covers 2 related markets

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

22dWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages$5,587 tracked1 signalFIFA World CupSports2026 FIFA World CupSoccer
Yes
12¢
No
89¢

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
92¢
87¢
82¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1h ago

$5,587 on Yes at 18¢

18¢12¢6¢

Related Theses