Part of: Eurovision Winner 2026
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,235.
Categories: Music, Awards, Culture, rewards 100, 4.5, 100, Eurovision
Notable Trades
Coordinated Yes rotation
High-composite coordinated flow toward Israel Yes, including linked wallets and several profitable bettors, though much of the size came from wallets closing prior No positions rather than fresh buys.
- 8 wallets moved the same way, putting $17.4k toward Israel Yes as the market jumped about 12 points today.
- Two linked wallets account for $16.4k of the flow, suggesting one larger actor is rotating exposure.
- Several wallets have strong records, including bettors who win 83% and 85% of resolved trades, though some trades were exits from prior No positions.
$17,366 on Yes
94% winner buying momentum
Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and $1.59M profit bought Israel Yes after a major odds move.
- This bettor has won 29 of 31 resolved trades and is up $1.59M lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 23¢ after Israel’s odds jumped about 20 points in 24 hours.
- The market is highly active, with $1.35M traded in the last day and odds still near 25¢.
$1,157 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
79% winner buying longshot
A highly profitable 79% winner with extensive cross-market history is buying Israel Yes at 6¢ despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $2.35M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.94M bet across 86 markets.
- Entry at 6¢ implies a longshot position with about 16x payout if Israel wins.
$2,712 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 76487264, $1,961,728
- 0xc4d1...8ce8 — Outcome 95405575, $365,859 (69% win rate)
- 0xabf7...9820 — Outcome 95405575, $108,442 (56% win rate)
- 0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 95405575, $74,322 (85% win rate)
- 0x485a...21cb — Outcome 95405575, $63,677 (33% win rate)
- 0x0462...cdde — Outcome 95405575, $50,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x77c8...bc8c — Outcome 95405575, $48,905 (36% win rate)
- 0x5aa1...d9b7 — Outcome 95405575, $26,836 (35% win rate)
- 0xc94a...d6c6 — Outcome 95405575, $26,468 (60% win rate)
- 0x6223...ee25 — Outcome 95405575, $20,000
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