Eurovision Winner 2026
81 signals across 6 markets · $422,035 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
The Eurovision Winner 2026 event tracks prediction-market odds for which country will win the contest, with active markets for Australia, Denmark, Finland, France, and Greece. PolySpotter has tracked $266,644 in smart money and 45 signals across the event, including coordinated No clusters, anti-Greece flow, and a separate Greece Yes push.
Markets (6)
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?40 signals · $219,784 tracked
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?19 signals · $86,145 tracked
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?14 signals · $68,614 tracked
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?4 signals · $24,158 tracked
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?3 signals · $21,235 tracked
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?1 signal · $2,100 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Cross-market Eurovision Yes bettors
High-score Eurovision alert with three wallets buying Finland Yes into a major volume spike and price move, though opposite No flow makes it less clean than a one-sided sharp signal.
$8,521Score: 26.9 - Sharp five-wallet Finland fade
Five profitable wallets are clustered on the same Finland-NO Eurovision thesis, including an 82% winner with strong P&L and repeated cross-market Eurovision activity.
$9,441Score: 26.1 - Coordinated Yes rotation
High-composite coordinated flow toward Israel Yes, including linked wallets and several profitable bettors, though much of the size came from wallets closing prior No positions rather than fresh buys.
$17,366Score: 22.7 - Sharp wallet joins No cluster
Sharp 82% win-rate wallet bought Finland Eurovision No alongside 8-wallet one-sided flow, with the position already moving sharply in their favor.
$2,571Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 18.7 - New wallet-led Yes cluster
High composite alert from a one-sided 3-wallet Yes cluster, led by a 1-day-old repeat large bettor, with strong recent price momentum despite limited proven wallet history.
$7,665Score: 14.1 - Coordinated YES volume spike
Three wallets bought the same Finland YES side during an 18x volume spike, including a brand-new repeat large bettor and related Eurovision positioning.
$14,973Score: 13.8 - Profitable Eurovision No cluster
High composite signal from coordinated No buying, cross-market Eurovision positioning, and a profitable 42-bet wallet despite the market moving against the entry so far.
$1,777Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 12.4 - Sharp bettor flips bullish
A proven profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate exited No exposure on Finland, which converts to a bullish Finland Yes signal, though prior-position profit-taking makes it less clean than a fresh buy.
$14,677Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 11.7 - 5-wallet anti-Greece flow
Five wallets are simultaneously selling Greece Yes after already trading this event across many Eurovision markets, creating a coordinated anti-Greece signal despite mediocre wallet win rates.
$9,879Score: 11.3 - 6-wallet NO cluster
Six wallets piled into the same side during a massive volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction behind Finland not winning Eurovision 2026.
$2,795Score: 10.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x535c23…96ba$68,403 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x6db983…4ab5$59,244 · 5 markets · 21 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x349606…8fc4$35,247 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 68% wins
- 0xc33524…9fae$25,451 · 2 markets · 5 alerts
- 0xad89f8…f6e1$17,719 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x94c4fe…43ca$12,749 · 3 markets · 6 alerts · 78% wins
- 0x000d25…758e$9,098 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x19254b…4654$7,621 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 44% wins
- 0x37e472…c991$7,568 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x45b0ef…4857$5,296 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
FAQs
What are the Eurovision Winner 2026 prediction market odds tracking?
This event tracks the market-implied chances that specific countries win Eurovision 2026. Current child markets include Australia, Denmark, Finland, France, and Greece, with traders buying Yes or No shares on each country’s chance to win.
What is the smart money doing on Eurovision 2026?
PolySpotter has tracked $266,644 in smart money across 45 signals for this event. Recent alerts include multiple coordinated No clusters, a 5-wallet anti-Greece flow, and also a coordinated Greece Yes flow, suggesting active disagreement among informed traders.
Is Greece seeing bullish or bearish betting activity?
Greece has seen mixed smart money activity. PolySpotter flagged both a coordinated Greece Yes flow and a 5-wallet anti-Greece flow, meaning some wallets are backing Greece while others are positioning against its Eurovision 2026 win chances.
Which countries are included in this Eurovision 2026 event?
This event currently covers prediction markets for Australia, Denmark, Finland, France, and Greece to win Eurovision 2026. The hub page aggregates activity across all listed country outcomes rather than focusing on just one market.
When does the Eurovision Winner 2026 market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on the official Eurovision 2026 winner, with the event resolving by May 16, 2026. If a listed country is eliminated and can no longer win, that country’s market may resolve to No earlier.