Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,770.

Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision

Notable Trades

Profitable Eurovision cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broader Eurovision thesis, effectively buying Italy top-5 Yes at 24¢ after moving No sharply lower.

This wallet is profitable overall, up $38.8k across nearly $2.0M wagered.
They have $30.7k across 4 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader event-level thesis.
Selling No at 76¢ equals buying Yes at 24¢, with No dropping 15.5 points in 4 minutes.

$2,830 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 30%

Profitable trader flips No

Profitable high-volume Eurovision trader flipped from a prior Italy Yes position into a larger No bet, with meaningful price impact in a moderately thin market.

This bettor is up $38K lifetime and has traded nearly $2M, despite a low hit rate.
They flipped from a prior Italy Yes position into a $2.9K No buy, suggesting a changed view.
The No side has moved sharply higher, and this trade was large relative to the market’s $4.9K liquidity.

$2,940 on No | Wallet win rate: 30%