Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,940.
Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision
Notable Trades
Profitable trader flips No
Profitable high-volume Eurovision trader flipped from a prior Italy Yes position into a larger No bet, with meaningful price impact in a moderately thin market.
- This bettor is up $38K lifetime and has traded nearly $2M, despite a low hit rate.
- They flipped from a prior Italy Yes position into a $2.9K No buy, suggesting a changed view.
- The No side has moved sharply higher, and this trade was large relative to the market’s $4.9K liquidity.
$2,940 on No | Wallet win rate: 25%
Top Holders
- 0xecb1...5da3 — Yes, $5,000 (49% win rate)
- 0xde04...fa37 — No, $4,106 (48% win rate)
- 0x04d7...b035 — No, $3,722 (25% win rate)
- 0x20f7...5527 — Yes, $2,000
- 0x8432...8360 — No, $1,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x6135...efa0 — Yes, $1,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x7b17...51b1 — No, $990
- 0x82f1...3ece — Yes, $758
- 0xbab6...50a2 — No, $755 (69% win rate)
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — No, $726 (19% win rate)
Related Theses
Australia or Greece wins Eurovision
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Italy makes Eurovision top ten
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Italy misses, Greece and Bulgaria shine
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Armenia advances in Eurovision
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