Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,894.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, world cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

Sharp wallet joins No cluster

Surfaced because three wallets put $17.2k on No during a 313x volume spike, including one profitable bettor with an 88% record.

  • Three wallets put $17.2k on No within minutes, pushing a normally quieter market into a 313x volume spike.
  • One wallet in the cluster has won 14 of 16 resolved bets and is up $6.4k lifetime.
  • Japan’s Yes odds are down about 9 points over the past day, matching the direction of this No buying.

$17,214 on No

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 63% resolved win rate is adding $3.36k to Yes in a moderately thin market with recent upward momentum.

  • This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades and is up $51k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $364k deployed across 100 events.
  • They bought $3.36k of Yes around 52¢ in a market with an 8¢ spread and rising odds.

$2,630 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 63% resolved win rate is adding $3.36k to Yes in a moderately thin market with recent upward momentum.

  • This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades and is up $51k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $364k deployed across 100 events.
  • They bought $3.36k of Yes around 52¢ in a market with an 8¢ spread and rising odds.

$4,690 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 63% resolved win rate is adding $3.36k to Yes in a moderately thin market with recent upward momentum.

  • This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades and is up $51k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $364k deployed across 100 events.
  • They bought $3.36k of Yes around 52¢ in a market with an 8¢ spread and rising odds.

$3,360 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa69d...509b Outcome 51498265, $28,000 (61% win rate)
  2. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 51498265, $4,949 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x426f...4615 Outcome 51498265, $4,688
  4. 0x2d01...27cb Outcome 51498265, $3,767 (79% win rate)
  5. 0x93fb...3e4a Outcome 51498265, $3,750 (42% win rate)
  6. 0x35dc...b9ef Outcome 51498265, $2,387 (100% win rate)
  7. 0xdf5a...bf0a Outcome 51498265, $2,120 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x4377...74c2 Outcome 51498265, $1,738 (84% win rate)
  9. 0xf595...bfb5 Outcome 51498265, $1,543 (53% win rate)
  10. 0xbc2d...7108 Outcome 51498265, $1,250

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US Iran peace deal imminent

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Morocco out, others advance

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Korea Republic routs South Africa

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Trump lifts Hormuz blockade

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Draw, then Korea wins

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Colombia scores against Portugal

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Croatia wins June 23

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Universitatea Craiova CS will win

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Iran wins by multiple goals

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Türkiye wins on June 19

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Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16$27,894 tracked4 signalsSoccerSportsFIFA World Cupworld cup2026 FIFA World CupTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

77d ago

$17,214 on No at 65¢

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

87d ago

$2,630 on Yes at 52¢

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

87d ago

$4,690 on Yes at 52¢

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

87d ago

$3,360 on Yes at 52¢

Related Theses