Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,894.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, world cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Sharp wallet joins No cluster
Surfaced because three wallets put $17.2k on No during a 313x volume spike, including one profitable bettor with an 88% record.
- Three wallets put $17.2k on No within minutes, pushing a normally quieter market into a 313x volume spike.
- One wallet in the cluster has won 14 of 16 resolved bets and is up $6.4k lifetime.
- Japan’s Yes odds are down about 9 points over the past day, matching the direction of this No buying.
$17,214 on No
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 63% resolved win rate is adding $3.36k to Yes in a moderately thin market with recent upward momentum.
- This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades and is up $51k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $364k deployed across 100 events.
- They bought $3.36k of Yes around 52¢ in a market with an 8¢ spread and rising odds.
$2,630 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 63% resolved win rate is adding $3.36k to Yes in a moderately thin market with recent upward momentum.
- This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades and is up $51k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $364k deployed across 100 events.
- They bought $3.36k of Yes around 52¢ in a market with an 8¢ spread and rising odds.
$4,690 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 63% resolved win rate is adding $3.36k to Yes in a moderately thin market with recent upward momentum.
- This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades and is up $51k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $364k deployed across 100 events.
- They bought $3.36k of Yes around 52¢ in a market with an 8¢ spread and rising odds.
$3,360 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xa69d...509b — Outcome 51498265, $28,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 51498265, $4,949 (71% win rate)
- 0x426f...4615 — Outcome 51498265, $4,688
- 0x2d01...27cb — Outcome 51498265, $3,767 (79% win rate)
- 0x93fb...3e4a — Outcome 51498265, $3,750 (42% win rate)
- 0x35dc...b9ef — Outcome 51498265, $2,387 (100% win rate)
- 0xdf5a...bf0a — Outcome 51498265, $2,120 (83% win rate)
- 0x4377...74c2 — Outcome 51498265, $1,738 (84% win rate)
- 0xf595...bfb5 — Outcome 51498265, $1,543 (53% win rate)
- 0xbc2d...7108 — Outcome 51498265, $1,250
Related Theses
US Iran peace deal imminent
Covers 4 related markets
Morocco out, others advance
Covers 5 related markets
Korea Republic routs South Africa
Covers 2 related markets
Trump lifts Hormuz blockade
Covers 1 related market
Draw, then Korea wins
Covers 2 related markets
Colombia scores against Portugal
Covers 1 related market
Croatia wins June 23
Covers 1 related market
Universitatea Craiova CS will win
Covers 1 related market
Iran wins by multiple goals
Covers 1 related market
Türkiye wins on June 19
Covers 1 related market
