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Event

World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

115 signals across 26 markets · $487,737 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026

This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market on whether Portugal will reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. PolySpotter has flagged $2,700 in smart-money activity, including a recent “99% winner in thin market” alert, giving bettors context on both the odds and market depth.

Markets (26)

  1. Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?11 signals · $95,081 tracked
  2. Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?16 signals · $88,400 tracked
  3. Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?13 signals · $63,691 tracked
  4. Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?9 signals · $37,654 tracked
  5. Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4 signals · $27,894 tracked
  6. Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $24,137 tracked
  7. Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7 signals · $19,446 tracked
  8. Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7 signals · $15,645 tracked
  9. Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?5 signals · $14,162 tracked
  10. Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $11,506 tracked
  11. Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4 signals · $10,793 tracked
  12. Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $8,788 tracked
  13. Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?6 signals · $8,495 tracked
  14. Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $7,999 tracked
  15. Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?5 signals · $7,938 tracked
  16. Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $7,480 tracked
  17. Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $7,000 tracked
  18. Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4 signals · $6,722 tracked
  19. Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $5,131 tracked
  20. Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $4,900 tracked
  21. Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $3,700 tracked
  22. Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $3,307 tracked
  23. Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $3,300 tracked
  24. Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $2,095 tracked
  25. Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $1,271 tracked
  26. Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $1,200 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp cross-market football bettor

    Sharp wallet with a 79% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying England Yes while also trading multiple related World Cup markets.

    $30,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 18.5
  2. Sharp World Cup position

    A proven profitable wallet with a 79% record is making a large, multi-market World Cup position despite paying above the current price.

    $17,500Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 17.0
  3. Sharp cross-market football bettor

    Sharp wallet with a 79% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying England Yes while also trading multiple related World Cup markets.

    $15,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 16.5
  4. 92% winner funded cluster

    Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is buying Spain Yes, backed by a 16-wallet funded cluster on related World Cup markets.

    $1,680Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 16.0
  5. 90% sharp fades favorite

    A proven 90% win-rate cross-market trader is fading an 82% favorite, backed by high composite signals from serial event trading and a 17-wallet funded cluster.

    $1,184Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 16.0
  6. 90% serial cross-market bettor

    Sharp 90% lifetime wallet with serial cross-market success is buying France Yes, with linked-wallet clustering adding corroboration despite the high 89¢ entry.

    $10,789Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 16.0
  7. 90% serial cross-market bettor

    Sharp 90% lifetime wallet with serial cross-market success is buying France Yes, with linked-wallet clustering adding corroboration despite the high 89¢ entry.

    $3,552Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 16.0
  8. 82% winner fading Yes

    Sharp 82% lifetime winner is reducing Netherlands exposure while trading heavily across related World Cup markets.

    $1,825Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 15.0
  9. Sharp serial sports bettor

    Sharp profitable wallet with 79% win rate is adding $7k to a Yes position while showing a long-running cross-market sports pattern.

    $7,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 14.5
  10. Profitable wallets caught breakout

    Three wallets bought Egypt Yes at 65¢ before a sharp move to 96¢, led by profitable high-volume cross-market bettors.

    $8,788Score: 14.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x18b84c…c368$97,070 · 6 markets · 12 alerts · 83% wins
  2. 0xd84949…6ac7$40,387 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 75% wins
  3. 0x0cb16f…dea6$39,798 · 1 market · 10 alerts · 89% wins
  4. 0xbfb818…9cf4$29,127 · 3 markets · 5 alerts · 66% wins
  5. 0x58e426…36f9$26,779 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 91% wins
  6. 0x9106cf…afcb$24,137 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 70% wins
  7. 0xd9ffb3…79dc$17,746 · 4 markets · 8 alerts · 67% wins
  8. 0xb6c83e…b9e6$17,205 · 3 markets · 4 alerts · 89% wins
  9. 0x7cde9c…b97d$16,514 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
  10. 0xaf3909…3101$11,188 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 83% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
Favorites advance, Spain Netherlands miss

FAQs

What are the Portugal Round of 16 odds on Polymarket?

This event shows the live prediction-market price for Portugal to reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. The market price can be read as the crowd-implied probability, though it may move as team news, group-stage results, and liquidity change.

What is the smart money doing on Portugal to reach the Round of 16?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,700 in smart-money activity across this event, with one recent signal described as a “99% winner in thin market.” That suggests a notable trader entered a market with limited depth, so the signal is worth watching but should be interpreted alongside liquidity.

When does this Portugal World Cup market resolve?

The market resolves “Yes” if Portugal reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. It resolves “No” if Portugal is mathematically eliminated, or under the event’s cancellation/postponement conditions, with the listed resolution deadline around July 4, 2026.

Is this page for Portugal only or all World Cup Round of 16 teams?

This event currently contains the child market for Portugal reaching the Round of 16. PolySpotter event pages aggregate the relevant markets, odds, and smart-money alerts available under the event hub.