Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $109,721.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer, Sports

Notable Trades

81% winner caught move

Sharp 81% lifetime bettor bought Yes before a major move to 100%, with cross-market positioning and strong volume/price confirmation.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $395K lifetime.
They put $24K across 3 markets in the same event, showing a coordinated view.
The Yes price jumped 36 points after heavy volume, and this entry at 83¢ is now at 100¢.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial event trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 83¢ before the draw market moved to 100%, alongside a major same-event volume surge and price impact.

This bettor has traded 49,338 resolved markets with $483K lifetime profit.
They are active across 715 events and put $205K into 3 markets tied to this event.
The entry at 83¢ moved quickly to 100%, but copying only makes sense below 93¢.

$3,042 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

New repeat bettor caught move

A 3-day-old repeat large bettor bought Yes at 83¢ before it moved to 100¢, alongside a major volume spike and sharp price move.

This new wallet has already placed 5 flagged positions totaling about $17K and is up $431 early.
They bought Yes at 83¢ before the market moved to 100¢, showing strong timing on the draw outcome.
Market volume spiked 49x with a 36-point move toward Yes, suggesting broader momentum behind the trade.

$3,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor exits Yes

High-scoring alert from a proven profitable bettor, but the trade is partly discounted because it closed an existing Yes position rather than opening a clean new No bet.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $84K lifetime.
They sold Yes after entering around 29¢, suggesting they no longer liked the draw price at 53¢.
Seven wallets also leaned the same way, totaling about $140K in No-side flow.

$9,256 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Linked sharp cluster buying No

Surface despite conflicting market flow because a 7-wallet No cluster includes linked wallets and multiple profitable high-win-rate bettors, including a serial cross-market trader pattern.

A 7-wallet cluster put $17.5k on No, with 4 wallets sharing the same funder.
One No buyer wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $74.5k lifetime.
There is opposing Yes flow, but the No side is now cheaper than this cluster’s average 58¢ entry.

$17,526 on No

Sharp cluster buying draw

Four wallets, including highly profitable serial sports traders, bought the draw together for $24.8k as the price jumped from the mid-30s to 41%.

Four wallets bought the same side for $24.8k, mostly at 34–36¢ before the price moved to 41¢.
Two key bettors have strong records: one is up $820k lifetime, and another wins 73% of resolved bets.
This market has a 12x pre-event volume spike and the draw price is up 14 points today.

$24,760 on Yes

11-wallet draw surge

High-volume coordinated Yes buying pushed the draw price sharply higher, with 11 wallets buying the same side and one positive-P&L bettor showing a 78% record.

11 wallets bought the draw for $41.6K, pushing Yes from around 50–63¢ to 78¢.
Market activity spiked 50x versus normal, with the Yes price up about 39 percentage points during the move.
One participating bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $7.6K lifetime.

$41,552 on Yes

92% winner buying No

Sharp sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $175k profit bought No on the draw market, supported by a strong serial cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $175k lifetime.
They have traded 97 related events with a 92% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 72¢ means they are backing Japan vs. Sweden not to end in a draw.

$1,504 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable new wallet repeat bet

A 6-hour-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profits is buying the draw at 26¢, suggesting fresh conviction despite the market being fairly liquid.

This 6-hour-old bettor is already up $15,183 across 8 resolved bets.
They have now been flagged 7 times, with $35,132 in notable bets across 8 positions.
Entry at 26¢ implies a roughly 3.8x payout if Japan vs. Sweden ends level.

$3,381 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

0x0346...52a5 — Outcome 96035647, $393,949 (53% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 96035647, $200,036
0x55f9...8615 — Outcome 96035647, $104,976 (100% win rate)
0x8fbb...9a17 — Outcome 96035647, $50,894 (54% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 96035647, $35,085 (63% win rate)
0x582b...d4e2 — Outcome 96035647, $13,699 (71% win rate)
0x4579...9352 — Outcome 96035647, $12,775 (91% win rate)
0x68a4...856e — Outcome 96035647, $12,541 (90% win rate)
0xa38a...821d — Outcome 96035647, $9,873 (56% win rate)
0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 96035647, $8,000 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

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Brazil-Japan match will happen

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Japan-Sweden match will happen

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A favorite wins World Cup

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Bilibili Gaming sweeps Invictus

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Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

ResolvedJapan vs. Sweden$109,721 tracked9 signalsFIFA World CupGamesSoccerSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes”

102¢

64¢

26¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction