Part of: Japan vs. Sweden

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

50 smart money signals detected, totaling $542,441.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer, Sports

Notable Trades

89% winner joins Yes cluster

Elite 89% winning sports bettor bought Japan Yes alongside a large one-sided cluster and major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.45M lifetime.
  • 46 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $440,875 in Yes bets.
  • They entered at 36¢ while the market is now 39¢, suggesting early momentum behind Japan.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Serial winner joins No flow

A profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No alongside six-wallet one-sided flow and a pre-game volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite the market being highly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $160,685 lifetime.
  • Six wallets are all buying No, totaling $18,307 in same-direction flow.
  • Market volume spiked 12.8x pre-game, while this entry at 52¢ is already marked near 54¢.

$3,041 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Proven sports sharp on No

Sharp sports bettor with a 79% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Japan No despite a highly liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $5.2K lifetime.
  • Their past bets beat market odds by a wide margin, with wins coming at 53¢ on average.
  • They are buying No at 49¢, taking the underdog side in a liquid match market.

$2,041 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp bettor joins No wave

A highly proven bettor flipped into No alongside a 37-wallet one-sided flow, with the position already moving from 69¢ to 75¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades across 783 positions and is up $8.3K lifetime.
  • 37 wallets are all buying No, totaling $185K in same-direction flow.
  • They bought No at 69¢ after closing a Yes position, and the market has already moved to 75¢.

$1,406 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

37-wallet linked NO cluster

High-conviction one-sided flow: 37 wallets, including linked funding, bought No for $185k and the price has already moved sharply in their favor.

  • 37 wallets all bought No, totaling $185k in one-sided flow.
  • The entry was 31¢ and No has already jumped to 75¢, showing the market moved hard with them.
  • Market volume spiked 13.4x above normal before the event.

$4,056 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

24-wallet linked No wave

High-conviction coordinated flow: 24 wallets, including linked funders, bought the No side for nearly $196k while a serial cross-market trader joined by effectively buying No at 27¢.

  • 24 wallets are all betting the same way, with nearly $196k on No and some wallets sharing funders.
  • This trade effectively bought No at 27¢, before the market moved sharply toward No.
  • The wallet is a heavy cross-market trader with 2,922 resolved bets and a 74% win rate.

$1,952 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable bettor joins 24-wallet No cluster

Strong No signal from a profitable high-volume cross-market bettor joining a 24-wallet one-sided cluster with major price movement in the same direction.

  • This bettor is up $588k lifetime across 3,587 resolved trades.
  • 24 wallets bought No in the same window, totaling about $196k in one-sided flow.
  • The market has already moved toward No, with Japan’s win odds down 21 points today.

$1,171 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

98% winner joins No cluster

High-conviction No buy from a 98% historical winner, backed by a 24-wallet same-direction cluster and strong market momentum.

  • This bettor has won 88 of 90 resolved bets and is profitable lifetime.
  • 24 wallets are all buying No, totaling about $196k in the same direction.
  • The market is moving with them: Japan Yes is down 21 points in 24h on a major volume spike.

$67,763 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%

Perfect-record bettor joins Yes cluster

Sharp perfect-record wallet bought Japan Yes alongside 13-wallet one-sided flow, making this worth surfacing despite the market moving lower after entry.

  • This bettor has won 21 of 21 resolved positions and is up $37,586 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with a perfect record across 28 events.
  • 13 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $39,101 in Yes flow.

$1,286 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

New wallet in 13-wallet push

High composite alert from a 22-hour-old repeat bettor joining 13-wallet one-sided Yes flow, though the market is very liquid and the entry has moved against them.

  • 13 wallets bought the same Yes outcome, putting $39.1K behind one side in the scan window.
  • This wallet is only 22 hours old but has already made 4 flagged bets totaling $5.5K.
  • The bettor bought at 38¢ while the market now sits near 33¢, so the same thesis may be available cheaper.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc6a6...9458 Outcome 10149149, $1,031,764 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xc40c...f219 Outcome 10149149, $863,636 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x05a3...2672 Outcome 10149149, $854,040 (50% win rate)
  4. 0xb45a...192c Outcome 10149149, $700,000 (47% win rate)
  5. 0x4277...31a7 Outcome 10149149, $604,040
  6. 0xc660...bd28 Outcome 10149149, $594,000 (72% win rate)
  7. 0xea40...8826 Outcome 10149149, $422,671 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x1b3f...764c Outcome 10149149, $422,222 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xe549...2d54 Outcome 10149149, $346,952 (98% win rate)
  10. 0x85f0...3f67 Outcome 10149149, $312,338 (98% win rate)

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Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

ResolvedJapan vs. Sweden$542,441 tracked50 signalsFIFA World CupGamesSoccerSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026 If Japan wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
102¢
74¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$5,000 on Yes at 36¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$3,041 on No at 52¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$2,041 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,406 on No at 69¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$4,056 on No at 31¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,952 on No at 27¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,171 on No at 64¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$67,763 on No at 67¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,286 on Yes at 38¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,500 on Yes at 38¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$5,000 on Yes at 38¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,860 on No at 63¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,670 on No at 63¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,682 on No at 62¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$3,700 on Yes at 38¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$3,735 on Yes at 38¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$19,236 on No at 68¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$5,000 on Yes at 36¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,022 on Yes at 41¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$12,186 on No at 57¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$3,000 on Yes at 44¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,100 on Yes at 51¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$5,000 on No at 56¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$11,557 on No at 56¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$4,920 on No at 52¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$13,679 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$2,363 on No at 52¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$3,200 on Yes at 48¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 48¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$6,000 on Yes at 48¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,739 on No at 52¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$4,442 on Yes at 48¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,309 on No at 51¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$2,436 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$2,854 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$9,607 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$6,753 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$4,300 on Yes at 51¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$4,913 on Yes at 51¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$7,806 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,100 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$195,637 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$1,575 on Yes at 51¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$4,000 on Yes at 51¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$10,000 on Yes at 51¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$3,283 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$7,100 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$38,650 on No at 49¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$28,000 on Yes at 51¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

6d ago

$9,812 on No at 48¢

Related Theses